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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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We're all used to spring here so yeah....56F and cloudy isn't "that bad"....we've experienced that type of day only about 1,000 times since we were kids. It doesn't make it any more appealing though from an absolute sensible wx perspective. Things can always be worse this time of year, so we can say it's a "win" in that sense. But nobody will ever convince me to genuinely enjoy 55F and overcast unless I morph into a marathon runner. I think I tolerate these types of days a bit more when everything isn't already soggy. A dry landscape and 55F overcast feels different than everything being like a sponge.
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2021....I think the real bad day was Saturday 7/3 but 7/4 was only marginally better and had that "late day high" where it feels semi-useless because most of the morning/midday hours were still rotting in the 50s to near 60.
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Yeah if I have the means when my kids are out of the house years from now, I'd love to have a place to go to between about April 1st and Memorial Day....not much redeeming here during that time. I do enjoy the brief few days each spring when you have just leafed out (not 100% but maybe 75%) and everything has that awesome almost electric green color....before it finally goes to the deeper green that stays around until August when it starts its demise (first the tired leathery look and then finally some hints of color in the swamp maples).
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Yeah this weather sucks....it beats 38-41F and misery mist so I'm glad it's not the worst case scenario, but dodging showers at 54F in late April sucks balls too. Friday looks like best chance for 60s east of the CT river.
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Lets see if we can muster up an '87 repeat in this shit pattern. Might as well given the alternative.
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Mar ‘98 was pretty close here but maybe back toward BDL this year might have is beat slightly. The peak temps of Mar ‘12 I don’t think we’re quite as anomalous here but the duration was obscene. Mar ‘12 actually got warmer in some CNE/NNE spots than here did. (I think places like IZG were cranking mid/upper 80s?)
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This might be more anomalous than late Mar 1998…or at least on par. prob doesn’t quite beat Dec ‘84 though.
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A lot of home stations run a bit warm though this time of year because so many of them don’t have proper solar shields and foliage isn’t on the trees yet to make up for it. ORH has been consistently too warm in MADIS for a couple years now. Best way to test it is during well-mixed atmosphere without solar contamination (which we did during that cold shot in February)…and we saw the indisputable results.
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2009 that happened. I think a few years later we had our warmest day in May.
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It’s fake anyway since it’s running like 3F warmer than the real temp. It will officially go down as earliest though…previous earliest were 90F on 4/17/02 and 4/19/76
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Irrelevant for me personally since I have central air, but back when I had to use window units, I never installed prior to June because you just had way too many cold outbreaks before then and an AC window unit lets a lot of cold air in, so you end up having to turn heat on when you might not have otherwise. Try seeing how cold your room gets if you have a window unit in there with the heat off and you get a wheel 'o 'rhea for 3 days at 44F.
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Don't need AC when dews are like 15F....lol.
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That’s the one big negative with such an epic snow season out west…you get the avalanche risk ramping up almost exponentially. Been a lot of that type of stuff reported recently. It’ll be funny though seeing a lot of places skiing into July this year though. Baker and maybe a few places in the Sierras like Mammoth or Alpine could probably do August if they wanted to. Esp if they get some late spring snows to reinforce. (Which seems to happen a lot in epic seasons)
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Incredible how cold that storm was too for April. Very powdery snow. Only the 4/4/16 event rivals it for cold with snow falling…but ‘82 was a much heavier event.
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Actually has a very well-placed sfc high....that's how we know it won't verify in this season.
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Yeah we better get rid of that block....otherwise I foresee some wheel o'rhea in our future.
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Global Average Temperature and the Propagation of Uncertainty
ORH_wxman replied to bdgwx's topic in Climate Change
I was still going to school in western NY in the 2001-02 winter and that BUF storm was pretty epic…basically a stalled low over James bay kept SW flow over Lake Erie and firehosed them for about a week straight with lake effect snow. I think they had like 82 inches in that one event. We visited Buffalo less than a month later on our way to Niagara Falls (we used to hop the border there because the legal age was 19 instead of 21, lol) and most of it had melted amazingly…but that’s what a torch will do…esp out there. They get a lot of snow but there’s no CAD so it warms up easy too when the pattern isn’t great. -
Alpine meadows at 8k up to 695" on the season....just 12" shy of their record of 707"...they'll prob blow that away over the next couple weeks.
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The whole "march is more of a winter" month narrative didn't come from a bunch of 1870s weenies....it came from people experiencing March in the past 3 decades who post on here.
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Yeah I really miss those 1870s Marches I experienced as a kid. It's a bummer we don't get those anymore.
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There's a reason they call it "The Spring Barrier".....our ENSO forecasts are really bad prior to early summer. Though at least in this case, we have a historical precedent that La Nina is extremely unlikely.
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You are remembering incorrectly...that looked like a strong Nino pretty quickly once we got past the spring barrier.
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Wow, had no idea how mundane it was there...ORH had 97.5". I assumed you were at least 80-85".