baltosquid
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Everything posted by baltosquid
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The big thing about that euro run is that it did not throw the TPV piece way east like the GFS did. Not much of a change.
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It all comes down to the TPV piece. You can see early on in NW Canada on the 18z GFS that it is tracking increasingly to the east. That only gets magnified over the course of the run. By game time it’s already scooting out through New England/Ontario/Quebec. It was more around the lakes last run. We can win if that is, as has been mentioned, more SW. I’d guess preferably it sticks around WI/MI, digging south. But there’s no shot while it’s so far east as in this run. Not for most of us.
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Nope, Baltimore's turn!
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I want to see it come further north with the max though...
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Okay well the GFS has countered with its own subsequent event… I want both
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Congrats Atlanta!
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I really need that blossoming of the radar near DC to come up here. That would make the night.
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Beautiful snow in Baltimore still. If only it had been like this in the morning as well!!
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lol. Of course the spurious evening flurries in Baltimore after the main event are prettier and stickier than anything from said main event!
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Fizzle job in the city tbh. Maybe on an idealized surface, could get a few tenths of an inch, otherwise trace.
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Radar over 95 is dying maybe because we’re on the wrong side of the dc band. Ugh
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Rates just jumped big time here! Finally some real flakes. Small, but better than dust!
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Eh. Took a closer look at the flakes and they’re little pixie dust things. Need more if there’s gonna be anything worthwhile here
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Now picking up a bit in Baltimore, still pretty light but it is now sticking to most things.
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Tiny flakes are falling in Baltimore. Hopefully we beat the dry air!
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Euro moved north with its last short before flakes started falling in the region. Gets the 0.1 inch QPF line to Baltimore, barely.
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Bad RGEM run, drier DC and north. Hopefully just a blip.
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Get out there with a squirt gun and point it skyward. Do your part. Edit: Also ICON a smidge north/wetter
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FV3 is way juiced lol. Massive expansion of the shield from 12z. No, you are not allowed to criticize this angel of a model.
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HRDPS looks good but a nasty dry slot for some in central eastern VA and far southern MD
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I will not hear any RAP slander. Kuchie 1+ for much of Maryland
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UKMET is very similar to 18z as well. 00z is a lot of holds trajectory wise, with some dryness.
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Canadian is also very similar to 12z. Maybe a hair drier.
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RGEM is worse. Shame, first letdown of the 18z-00z revival campaign
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Yeah only hope is our wave just does it on its own, nothing to work with ahead of it.
