baltosquid
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Everything posted by baltosquid
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Thickness lines descending to our west and rising to the east run to run, nice. Hopefully we are close enough that doesn't become a bad thing where temps become more of an issue (but you'd have more insurance than us down here).
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Yeah definite improvement from GFS, bigger shield, more precip to the border, better jack for 95 from Baltimore to NE. Slightly better for DC
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GFS looks very similar to 18z through 27. Looks like a slightly more organized interaction with the TPV, maybe that juices it slightly, more coastal-y?
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Getting woken up to puking snow by lightning and thunder would be sick
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Icon got better as well!
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Difficult work at 10pm while buzzed but it had to be done I think I like "roofus" to go along with the GFS "goofus"
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It may not be a christmas miracle, or even a christmas eve miracle, but man would it be nice to reel in a christmas eve eve eve eve eve eve eve eve eve eve eve miracle!
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“Getting RRFS’d” doesn’t have the same ring to it though…
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3k NAM is rougher with the rain-snow changeover and just takes longer to get going, especially for SW.
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was gonna say... this has been a great set of runs with the GFS finally budging a bit, but that just means we could be set up for a vintage Dr. No moment
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Really looked like it might come north a touch even if still narrow but the GFS is dead set on a bay jackpot
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It will end up falling on 1 lane of 95 from DC to NY
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Looks very similar to 12z through 51, just everything is a touch north. Seems like it will amp a bit more too. Just gotta hope it isn’t too much; could be good if the lid stays on
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Speaking of things you may not need to pay for… DESI is cool and has the national blend of models. The drawback is it is a demanding web page.
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Canadian has seemingly wanted to send it north this whole time save for some wavering last night/this morning so it would be quite the coup for it if we get F’d
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For 95 area at least, snow maps are worse because of the weird mix line that stays in place while it snows south of 95. QPF for Baltimore was 0.3 but 10:1 only shows 1-2 inches.
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lol. The mix on RDPS is comical
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The big thing about that euro run is that it did not throw the TPV piece way east like the GFS did. Not much of a change.
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It all comes down to the TPV piece. You can see early on in NW Canada on the 18z GFS that it is tracking increasingly to the east. That only gets magnified over the course of the run. By game time it’s already scooting out through New England/Ontario/Quebec. It was more around the lakes last run. We can win if that is, as has been mentioned, more SW. I’d guess preferably it sticks around WI/MI, digging south. But there’s no shot while it’s so far east as in this run. Not for most of us.
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Nope, Baltimore's turn!
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I want to see it come further north with the max though...
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Okay well the GFS has countered with its own subsequent event… I want both
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Congrats Atlanta!
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I really need that blossoming of the radar near DC to come up here. That would make the night.
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Beautiful snow in Baltimore still. If only it had been like this in the morning as well!!
