baltosquid

Light snow at APG!

I'd just like some mood flakes to get things started. Durable accumulations east of the mountains for this weekend are off the table, but maybe there will be a few scattered heavy flurries trailing down from the PA border that juuuust make it to 95.

Best photo of Thursday, during the 10pm substorm. Washed out in the city but was still very much naked eye visible though fainter. Only caught a bit of the 7:30 substorm which seems like it was the strongest but overall what a night!

I really, really, really hope this can stay clear of Haiti. Just can’t bear to watch them continue to catch every bad break.

Not my pic but close by. Seems like we did indeed get caught under a tiny vortex.

It’s a branch massacre over here. Adirondack chairs thrown about, some shutters yanked off facades as well. Edit. We appear to have been gifted some cushions on the deck…

People up 95 should be on the lookout, hook still seems to be present

Damn. I think the rotation passed very close to us here in canton just after the rain passed. Got incredibly and chaotically windy and got some power flickers. Seems done for now…

Radar presentation of the storm about to come through Baltimore has a pretty clear hook echo

Hp30 index climbed to 7.333 briefly but has come back down. Saw pics of auroras over Lake Ontario but probably not going to get to us barring a bigger hit waiting in the wings tonight. And of course the clouds are excruciatingly stubborn on top of this.

Heating up a bit again. This is about as strong as it got last night before it petered out, so hopefully it doesn't repeat that fizzle. Looks like inclement weather should clear up soon and, for once, we won't be traveling or waiting until 3 and 4 am to see if it is truly happening...

Tonight might end up more of a long-exposure, horizon based photography thing in low-light pollution areas - CME does seem to have had an impact based on the auroral oval forecast (and it got a tad stronger last update as well) but it doesn't look close to last night. Hopefully tomorrow is better, seems like it will at least provide a better chance of clear (enough) skies!!

Forecast picking back up. Mostly cloudy here, can actually see the moon and some stars through a patch of sky but not placed where I can see the north horizon. Hopefully continues to strengthen.

CME modeling has impacts at around 8-9pm and again at 1-2am, my read is see how the first hit affects things. If it fizzles, getting some much needed rest. If we get juiced up again, I’ll stick around…

https://x.com/mathewjowens/status/1789256119648428163 Simulation of CME impacts... could have more striking the magnetosphere later today/tonight, and then one could hit Sunday as well. So definitely still possible that the auroras could get juiced up tonight. But clouds will again be a factor.