Torch Tiger

Yeah just a few light gusts, only now is it getting somewhat breezy

16.2", last hurrah underway. settled depth is only 13"ish, though cartops are 15"ish

Loud thunder!

Pushing 14", had 12.7 at noon and there's another 1"+ new

Remember when folks said 18+" wasn't realistic :D

Wild, double digits already, heard a transformer gun shot pop too so we probably have outages around

9.5" wild here, exceeding most speculations. wow not even a contest with surrounding towns

no pics? wow

it's snowing. <3

looks healthy <3

easy 4" here just crushin out heavenly with snow all day. ez

you too! it's a vibe, just sittin back smilin

it's snowing!!!

i love messing with these. let's gooo 1.3"

Around 1.2", just flurries/s--- now

Wow what a storm, ground covered here 100

OES is kinda crushing <3 almost 1" let's goooo

.6" mod snow

drinking some SA Cold Snap, about to make homemade jambalaya <3 s- with a light coating of snow

Yeah I'm not really sure exactly where records were pre-'42, but it's on the NWS 1938 write-up https://www.weather.gov/box/1938hurricane

1938, 100 sustained g 125 for Providence. Not sure the sustained in Donna but peak gust was 81

let's get those rivers very high and dangerous to wash a few antique covered bridges away?

Rivers and Streams With the heavy rain and snowmelt, river and stream flooding look to be a significant possibility. The MMEFS indicating several locations for 30% exceedance of minor flooding with a few locations having a 30% chance for moderate flooding. As stated above, the big X factor will be how much snowfall remains after Sundays event and will likely be a big impact in the river flood threat. Strong to Damaging Winds A powerful LLJ will likely bring strong winds and possibly damaging winds to the region late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Deterministic guidance is in good agreement with a 80-100 kt 850mb LLJ which is approaching 4-5 standard deviations above climatology for this time of year. Even at 925mb, winds could be as high as 70- 90 knots. GFS bufkit soundings at this time don`t show much of any inversion which means these high winds will likely mix down to the surface. NBM probabilites for 58mph gusts (High Wind Warning) are high at 70-90% for Cape Cod and the Islands. Even inland for areas east of the I-95 corridor, probs for 58+ mph gusts are moderate at 40-70%. NBM probabilities for 46mph gusts (Wind Advisory) already showing moderate probs at 40-70% for the interior. As for the marine areas, storm force winds are very likely with hurricane force winds certainly in the realm of possibility with this system. Coastal Flooding Given this system is still more then 3 days out, uncertainty remains high for level of coastal flooding expected. As of right now, minor to moderate coastal flooding is possible along the south coast where 2-4 feet of surge is possible if the timing of the maximum winds aligns with the Wednesday AM high tide. Astro tides are also coming up for the the south and east coast during this time period and may lead to minor coastal flooding impacts even for the eastern facing coasts despite the the unfavorable southerly winds due to rapid pressure drops.

Major severe event still on tap for the deep south! that'll be interesting to track as well