Yeah we talked about this a week or two ago. My overall easy interpetation has been that Canada has been torched with mostly well BN snowpack. It's going to be a while until that changes. Models aren't going to be picking up on this until medium-range (they're usually biasing towards climo, no?) and that's where these "better" looks slowly morph into less than good over time, and you get that 1-2ish week delay.