Torch Tiger

hey, at least there's a few rain showers/storms around for you central and western folks. congrats

ML lapse rates look like garbage. I get it now, ew

Why is it weak?

read this one quick and, yikes. you did what?

Yeah, i'm good with that mess. Usually when the beaches are jammed, I'll park at one of the road shoulders at Rye and set up shop on one of the rocks. lol

yeah I got a random day off, if it were Saturday I'd make a day of it. I was going to Rye, but if there's storms I'd have to backtrack way way west. it's a holiday, but I'd wager traffic will still be gridlock around that time

Yeah it's perfect

you live in S Wey, we get it

If that cluster of showers in S NY can perk up and move E /ENE into WNE, that would kinda support some of the east-initiating mesos

Yeah that's not healthy for the mind nor body. A few A/C days here and there okay but weeks at a time, no bueno

Yeah it's furnaced out there, fiery. Gotta get out and acclimated.

skipped the beach today once I saw those damn mesos popping some storms west of here. Maybe go for a ride a bit later if there's a surviving storm around

W MA- ORH -SE NH 19-23z seems to have some activity on most of the mesos.

good self-awareness there!

drinking some vodka and crans later, hopefully watching WNE get croaked. Maybe Wiz finds his 62kt gust. Either way great HHH work holiday at the beach.

Timing sucks for any MCS Saturday night, at least if you take a blend of the models. NNE could do well though

Yeah exactly. When we are bullseye several days out, the boundary nearly always ends up SW of us

It looks "mid" but the wind threat could be somewhat enhanced, wouldn't rule out some scattered 50-60kt winds with any bows. love the dcape, that's what I was honking about last week and it PERHAPS works out

In Harwich and it's raining!

so hot =)

Maybe BDL can hit 115 HI ?

In the end, they do not move him if he was a good teammate.

Yeah west is best. Not expecting anything here

A cold front approaches New England Thursday afternoon/evening, this could trigger a severe weather risk. While we are looking five days out there is already an area highlighted to our southwest by SPC for the potential of severe storms. Quick look, there is instability to tap into, guidance has MUCAPE values above 2,000 J/kg, steep lapse rates including mid-level lapse rates of 7C/km, modest effective shear of ~35 knots. The machine-learning at CSU highlights much of the region with a 15% to 30% chance of severe weather, which is impressive this far out and will be something that needs to be watched.

When I lived at 1k in New Boston NH, 2012-18, the highest temp I ever saw on my Davis VP2 was 97.0 in 2012, on the hottest day of the year. First-order SNE sites were like 99-104 iirc