Torch Tiger

this looks like an alright signal for some EC tropical impacts. Not saying SNE specific but not all dissimilar to some of the analog years presented by the NHC esrlier this year. Of course we need a storm or two to track, so we'll see. Not a bad look to enter September.

It's been quiet so far but recent active years have shown the same cards.

Be vigilant

Thank you, I am notifying folks

Aug ~20th-25th should bring the seasonal ramp up.

The CV disturbance has potential, hopefully it runs silent and deep and develops later than sooner...

Would be better if we had anomalously warm waters NE of us, though, promoting slightly higher pressure and maybe stronger blocking episodes. That is nitpicky..

Nice

Yeah I watched that one. It looks like storm footage from Newport, RI, then the aftermath in BID. Iirc BID gusted ~125, Newport was maybe 100ish

Not sure if I have seen that, will check it out.

https://m.facebook.com/logged_out/watch/?video_id=10157310614440301&refsrc=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com%2F&_rdr Not my video. lol

love this, looks like 60-70 sustained. Dartmouth MA just missed the strongest winds by 30-60 mi but the fading eye went overhead

Bob was much worse on the Cape for most people.I was old enough to remember it but most 30-35 or younger have zero idea what a hurricane can do in NE. I was in the right eyewall about 1/2 mile where the roof was ripped off the hotel in E Fal. The gusts were 100 easy, maybe 120. You could hear the Microbursts and damage around you Bob came in two hours earlier than anticipated by the previous days forecasts, generally. A 4pm landfall would have destroyed coastal SE MA nearing high tide. Two hours,maybe 3 prevented a much worse hit.

Yeah and that does not include the near-miss Carol ? In 53, edouardesque, as well as the incredible flooding of Connie/Diane of '55 We've been pushing our luck

I understand. JMO, not that it is correct.

Hurricane Edna was a major, the eye passed near/over MVY then Barnstable.

Won't be long before JB throws around a few weenie tweets. In fact, he probably has.

Crunch n munch for lunch, satisfying meal for our fuzzy friends

Up to 60% on our BOC zygote. HH's zipping in tomorrow to investigate!

Hankerings

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure accompanied by cloudiness and showers centered over the Yucatan Peninsula is forecast to move westward over the southern Bay of Campeche during the weekend. Some gradual development of this system is possible through early next week as long as it remains over water. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely produce heavy rainfall over portions of southern Mexico during the next few days. Regular issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will begin at 2 AM EDT tonight with the beginning of the Atlantic hurricane season. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Avila/Zelinsky

It aligns with the gypsy moth map clusters. That's impressive accuracy

We gypsy