Torch Tiger
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Everything posted by Torch Tiger
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we may never hurricane again
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Not gonna happen...is def gonna happen Weenies
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Tasty waves, cool buzz and I feel fine
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0z Ukie is OTS, has a reasonably potent system. It's worth watching, anyway
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The 12z JMA (lol) had a much more favorable UL jet.
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The 0z Euro depicts an U/L low pressure near 50/50 at 96hr. modulate that LP less deep in time- as well as a less-than-modeled s/w rounding the base of that deep trough in Southern CA, could be more interesting. Otherwise the flow is too flat and it's an easy recurve. Whether a system even gets going.... Haven't looked at anything 0z except the 0z euro op and gfs, and fwiw.
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It's definitely gonna happen.
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Lock it
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This is an good disc on 1938 https://www.wcsu.edu/weatherconference/wp-content/uploads/sites/137/2017/09/WCSU2012.pptx
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Here is one for modern NE 'canes http://www.ryanhanrahan.com/new-england-hurricane-setups/
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I'd rather a pattern like '38..closed low over the western lakes, opening up to the ne against that high to the E. That way you don't see so much dry air entrainment with the storm above 30N.
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Bob pictures. Maybe NE's most underrated hurricane, along with '44. Interesting that news of both were squashed by world events, especially 1944 and the information blackout https://www.capecodtimes.com/photogallery/CC/20160812/MEDIA01/812009998/PH/1
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catastrophic cravingz, nice
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Alex 2004. Yeah that's a giant eye and CDO, "annular"
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this looks like an alright signal for some EC tropical impacts. Not saying SNE specific but not all dissimilar to some of the analog years presented by the NHC esrlier this year. Of course we need a storm or two to track, so we'll see. Not a bad look to enter September.
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It's been quiet so far but recent active years have shown the same cards.
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Be vigilant
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Thank you, I am notifying folks
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Aug ~20th-25th should bring the seasonal ramp up.
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The CV disturbance has potential, hopefully it runs silent and deep and develops later than sooner...
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Would be better if we had anomalously warm waters NE of us, though, promoting slightly higher pressure and maybe stronger blocking episodes. That is nitpicky..
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Nice
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Yeah I watched that one. It looks like storm footage from Newport, RI, then the aftermath in BID. Iirc BID gusted ~125, Newport was maybe 100ish
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Not sure if I have seen that, will check it out.
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