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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. Gorgeous final day of May, cooling through the 60's with a light breeze and no bugs. Perfection.
  2. Time to fire up a thread banger Sunday into Sunday night ... Low pres tracking SE of the 40N/70W benchmark early Sun may bring a few showers to the outer Cape and Nantucket Sun morning, otherwise skies should become partly sunny. Mid level trough approaches from the Great Lakes with attending cold front moving across New York state in the afternoon. 500 mb temps -14 to -15C combined with surface heating will allow modest instability to develop in the afternoon with SBCAPEs 1000-1500 J/kg, focused in the interior. Best deep layer shear is lagging instability but there is a window during the mid/late afternoon where 1000+ J/kg CAPE coincides with 0-6km shear around 30 kt. Expect scattered showers and t-storms to develop and a few strong to severe storms are possible, mainly interior. Steep low level lapse rates support strong winds with any t-storms but hail also a threat given cold 500 mb temps. Highs should reach well into 70s, except upper 60s east coastal MA and Cape/Islands where sea breezes will keep it cooler.
  3. If you ride a roller coaster and the safety bar releases, and you catapult 300 ft. to your death; is the park to blame, or you for thrill seeking and choosing to ride that day?
  4. It hasn't even been two full months since it's still May. Lol
  5. It's the year without a summer
  6. By D10-14 those details are well beyond my scope. I just want to see general agreement of upper features and the spread within. Lol. That's a dreaded rabbit hole to me. Sort of like folks with the worshipping of those new gen cams and simulated radar, etc. I think one of the doctorates wrote in detail about it.
  7. Summer's been okay so far. GEFS definitely more June-like in the LR though it is easy to see the fragility of any extended warm up. Day to day sensible wx is debatable but it is definitely a more seasonable look.
  8. Sunday looks poor but maybe we can get a few legit t-storms to enter w or even central MA before being cut down by marine junk
  9. the gefs forecast flat-lines the nao and pna with little change, and also the euro wasn't particularly exciting.
  10. to suggest it's a bunch of amateurs mucking it up for a few experienced mountaineers is pretty silly
  11. Yeah, glad we didn't rip and read
  12. The Sipprell sweep next week, brooms and booms
  13. It aligns with the gypsy moth map clusters. That's impressive accuracy
  14. Mammoth skiing into August. That's what it's all about.
  15. Saw a few gypsy pillars last week, and with so many oaks in the yard nearly bare, it must be years of gypsy damage. Also looked at the gypsy damage maps available and there were a few reports locally.
  16. Trough to the left of us, Ridge to our right, here we are Stuck on the middle with dews
  17. First named storm down. GEFS hints at some activity in la-la land, perhaps the W Carib...we'll see.
  18. The winter pattern crapped out in the late 80s and early 90s, just like our sports teams. Then the mid late 90s revival
  19. Playing 18 at Norton CC next Tuesday.
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