Torch Tiger

Floyd 20 year anniversary

"Trend" is not necessarily true, though.

It's the same as most other msg boards and social media. The main thread: it's always a few enlightening posts surrounded by 95% filler, you just have to take away what you like to and sift through the rest.

It's always been that way, a lot of groupthink and pig-piling on unpopular opinions and a few over-sensitive types to boot

I forget and too many pages to sift through. We'll see what happens.

Could it make LF ? Sure, it's razor close. Most likely outcome? Nah

Depends who you asked. I was laughed at in the main thread with scrape/ OTS call on Thursday. ;(

looks like a Andrew/Katrina/Hugo/Sandy/1944/Floyd/Irma/1893 redux

I already did..deaf ears

Right we need to build asap

The model hugging in the main thread is atrocious.

Lord, that main thread is horrible.

Deep stuff

etc

cat3+ landfalls for MIA/FLL and TPA would be awesome

Y'all crazee

Very complex forecast, wow.

Get after it...time to get excited for awesome

This is going to be awesome, hopefully it stalls right over Orlando for a few days

Yorian Fixes from the reconnaissance plane indicate that Dorian has been moving toward the northwest or 315 degrees at 11 kt. The cyclone is heading toward a weakness in the Atlantic subtropical ridge, and this motion should continue for the next 2 to 3 days. However, after that time, all global models build a robust ridge over the western Atlantic, and this flow pattern should force Dorian to turn more to the west-northwest toward Florida and the southeast coast of the United States. All indications are that by this Labor Day weekend, a powerful hurricane will be near the Florida or southeastern coast of the United States. The new NHC track forecast is not significantly different from the previous one, and it very closely follows the multi-model consensus TVCA and the HCCA. Users are reminded not to focus on the exact forecast track, as the average 5-day track error is around 200 miles.

I like this video..60 years ago and it rings very true today

Cat. 2+ milf?

Intensity busts as well as near stationary cyclones, etc. other factors still display the weaknesses of today's models. Watching this weak TD curve 350mi. SE of Nantucket is boring, though

TD6 is a mess