Torch Tiger

6 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Solid tropical storm conditions on the Cape verbatim, along with like 6-8" of rain. ACK pushing hurricane force. Not buying it yet, but we should keep an eye on the extent of western ridging and the strength of that shortwave/trough orientation going forward. Perhaps we can get a bit of a PRE after all after last week's tease.

1996 Edouard's fishing expedition comes to mind. I remember moving to college the day before, the first thing I did was setup telnet 14.4 baud into PSC wx and track that pos all night.

It's already a halficane by the time it reaches 40N. If you believe the gfs. Flooding would be impressive anyway.

next

Dorian misses the entire SE US coast by a hair, and is later captured/catapulted into SNE

I'm headed down to CC to board up

2 hours ago, nj2va said:

If you want a lesson on wishcasting go read the main thread. 

days and days 

4 minutes ago, FatherNature said:

I heard Alabama is in the line of the hurricane, when does evacuations start there?

Sept 25th

3 hours ago, Hoth said:

Maybe we get that PRE after all.

We'll definitely need to see a more stout s/w so as to pump heights to the NE. Otherwise it'd confined to far SE areas, if at all.

18z gfs...maybe ack would see 40-60 mph, but (as shown) a transitioning extratropical that makes landfall along the Carolinas won't have much wind on the NW side away from the coast. Just a boat load of rain.

7 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said:

Just take advantage of it and post what you want

Yeah but but the 18z Mongolian has it wsw into Florida

Where is the moderation in the main thread, when it's really needed? :/

11 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

No but neither is my grandmother and she doesn’t need to be told twice that there’s such a thing as a Cat 5 lol.  Each one is something he’s certain has never happened before .  

Just makes shit up all day long.  But whatever works ha.

He is trying to appeal to a "salt of the earth" segments of voters...Clinton and his team were good at this. I tried to be PC

4 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

The amount of wishcasting going on hoping for a monster cat 5 hurricane to make landfall in a densely populated area is frankly disturbing.

Only one area??

What a weeniecane

20'+ surge, but the wave heights though??  at 25' asl.? Is that really what Josh planned?

drinking the model kool-aid

Now watch the storm barrel right through FL into the Gulf

4 hours ago, OSUmetstud said:

Where is the post?

What happened was on Wednesday, I made a post saying the best track was a scraper and OTS around 4pm, while pretty much every model was west into Florida bodily, and even the gulf including EC ensemble. The weenie mods didn't like my negativity and deleted the post ( but funny they allowed the cat5 into Miami/Panhandle/MS/AL/LA weenie posts to stay)

You can see the banter thread where they called me cheetah and said cheetah/jonger cage match

Floyd 20 year anniversary

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

The 12z hurricane models, HWRF and HMON, have definitely trended back to the west and south.  And the interim 6z run of the Euro has also.  In fact the HMON now has a landfall just north of FL in Brunswick, GA and hugging the coast right up to Savannah.  Be interesting to see the 12z Euro.

"Trend" is not necessarily true, though. 

2 minutes ago, RT1980 said:

I can understand that but I thought this was a majority novice board where people were trying to learn about a hobby.  I get the wishcasting/trolling has no place but I don’t see too much in these times of people in the know teaching.  Just calling others out for not being in the know or others who have knowledge who happen to disagree out.  Oh the interwebs!

It's the same as most other msg boards and social media. The main thread: it's always a few enlightening posts surrounded by 95% filler, you just have to take away what you like to and sift through the rest.

9 minutes ago, RT1980 said:

Just seems some can say whatever they want and others disagree and posts vanish!  Maybe I don’t know background?

It's always been that way, a lot of groupthink and pig-piling on unpopular opinions and a few over-sensitive types to boot

5 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

Where is the post?

I forget and too many pages to sift through. We'll see what happens.

Could it make LF ? Sure, it's razor close. Most likely outcome? Nah

3 hours ago, moneypitmike said:

What a hoot if this went from being a likely FL landfall to Newfoundland one instead.  Just a minor miss. 

Depends who you asked. I was laughed at in the main thread with scrape/ OTS call on Thursday. ;(