Torch Tiger

Literally perfect late summer wx, everyone is outside happy and enjoying it. Hope this holds until we cool down into the 40s and 50s in December.

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

These are likely bigger departures from normal than anything we saw all summer.   My MET summer came in just a shade below normal for JJA.  The hot humping didn't seem warranted for three months straight IMO .

Glad I don't reside there

21 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Nothing in the pattern for the next week or two would suggest cold...why would anyone post about it?

Didn't stop the cold clowns earlier this summer

try to stay hydrated folks, it's going to be a real hot and dry one out there

On 9/17/2019 at 7:36 AM, J Paul Gordon said:

Uh oh.... Torchtember Torchtober? Guess we might as well cancel winter. (Flat affect intended).

droughtember to remember

Everything going as planned..

Yeah, we want a deep early winter run through mid-December, with very heavy rains and some mountain snowfalls. Sustained deep -nao. It's what we want until the rubber band snaps.

We wish Hohumberto a quick and harmless exit. 

13 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Verbatim that’s another gradient winter, displace that 100 miles north (which is nothing at this lead time) and it’s lights out for most on this sub forum. 

 200 miles north sounds ideal

Even the highest hill or western edge in Cumberland RI doesn't average over 50". 45-50"/year avg. seems about right.

1 hour ago, Snow88 said:

Still should be  monitored

bless your little heart

Wow, heavy pile on the weenies going on. all part of that classic NE subforum charm.

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

EPS  and GEFS still have members making a sharp turn and bringing it close to SNE.  also some EPS members ots or in the Gulf.. all are still at play until models latch onto a center  and strength.. still think we wait until Sunday to know for sure..

it's over

It's still the follow up system that should be watched. The east coast looks fairly exposed.

1 hour ago, tamarack said:

 No white-faced hornet would pursue even a quarter as far.

Funny you say that because there's a youtube video of a couple of knuckleheads on a boat who did a drive-by whacking of one of those (BFH) nests, they were stung.. Then, even after well beyond the nest and thinking they were safe, were attacked and stung out of nowhere again. I really think it is just the aggressive and relentless nature of the family of wasp

33 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

12z EPS has some fun in it

There's always next year.

9 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I remember it and survived too, After 7 days with no power and 2' of water in the basement for a grand total of $3,000 worth of damage.

Glad you made it through largely unscathed

Anyone remember these shirts? Thought I lost it in a move...

21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Only if you disturb their nest, then they go insane. White faced hornets (same thing as bald-faced) are not nearly as bad as yellow jackets though once you get away from the very immediate area surrounding their nest. They will typically go about their business without bothering you whereas a yellow jacket will be much more likely to sting you away from the nest. Yellow jackets love to get up in your business and then if you try and swat it away, it has no problem stinging you.

The white faced hornet stings are really painful though...worse than yellow jacket stings. They just don't happen as often.

Another thing is the nests of bald hornets are usually up high(er) in trees, bushes or awnings, while yellow jackets often nest low or in the ground, so it is much easier to run into them. One thing I had forgotten is that BFH are actually a type of yellow jacket wasp, but not the eastern or German type mostly associated.

15 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

The system crawled through Eastern NC, well inland. I remember watching the radar. 

nah...lol

51 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Why is that irrelevant?

Secondly, it doesn't make landfall until reaching Southern NJ. Big difference from storms like Floyd and Irene which made landfall in the Carolinas and then tracked inland.

"Beyond that is irrelevant" because that had nothing to do with your post I quoted. You posted the 168-216 hr loop, and said it was moving quickly, when it actually showed a relative crawl for a mid-latitude TC. I was just making sure there was no confusion.

31 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

6 days from Carol's development to landfall, more like 3-4 days for Bob. People will get warning either way. Track, intensity, and genesis forecasting are all way better than they were decades ago. 

Yeah model forecasting has improved, but human forecasting? haha

Besides, let's say hypothetically we have a hurricane in the bahamas and it shoots north at 30, 40, 50mph? ...There's only perhaps 1.5-2 days max distance to travel. You can only get so much extra lead time, even with improved technology and forecasting techniques. I know Harvey has made that point before.

16 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

We probably get an average of like 2 additional days of weather predictability now compared to when Gloria happened. 

Yeah, maybe for a tamed track CV storm. Carol or Bob? Maybe not.

6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

the land interaction is often missed with east coast storms-Gloria, Irene etc all sucked in drier continental air, yet forecasters went all in for wind impacts (which in the end only affected a small area)

Yeah definitely. Gloria is a good example. It was sort of wiped out by the time it reached 40N, even though it was moving along at like 35mph. 

I like bald faced hornets, their nests look amazing and they are crazy aggressive like yellow jackets. This is one of the better nests I've seen, might not want to rattle that thing