Torch Tiger

I'm guessing that with less emphasis on the * meso lows, as time goes on, the modeled intensity and track should be weaker/west? I didn't see in-between hours on the Euro. The Ukie was relatively hi-hum with intensity and would seem to dry slots eastern, and maybe central SNE.

Tobin would be closed to pedestrian traffic

3 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Yeah Oct '17 went up the HV in the 960s and had a little embedded meso low that ripped up over the Cape and brought the 90-100 mph gusts. That was the ideal setup as far as wind events go. This looks solid for the immediate coast, as usual, but I'm more interested in the rain aspect than the wind IMBY. 

I thought this one was setting records for Oct. mslp?

Still want this to wrap up sooner and west, for a regional wind threat.

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Talk to me in 5 days.

There will be no power and all lines of communication lost

This looks reasonable

negative tilt trof winds 50+ down to GA...oke

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Gonna be a lot of folks wondering WTF happened when things are crashing down Wed night 

We may as well break out the chainsaws and safely take them all down now.

that map though...

5 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Gfs is by itself right now

I am not saying any solution is "correct", but these 970mb solutions ripping through CT and c/e MA just aren't going to happen. GFS will come back west some but probably meet in the middle with a 975-980mb low wrapping up east and NE of Boston, and the model consensus seems to be in that ballpark. Too little too late for anything big, another mediocre no'easter for most...but at least some much needed rain.

Continued wagons east and weaker on the gfs. Still seems more likely to me.

Outside of that squall/fine line,potential.  could be a big wind maker. Gfs with a 972mb cutter and fully warm sectored on SSW winds

32 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Max weenie zone southeast of Long island?

literally

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Gonna be some shocked folks not expecting winds . Glad we not them 

At worst a few lighthouses lose shingles, and that's all

next

Euro has a 971mb low overhead

The inland winds 25-35mph should really rip down that vibrant foliage, so there's a win

20 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said:

Winds 80-100 seem likely

Km/hr

Winds 80-100 seem likely

Here we go 

It will be interesting to see 0z and how that energy in the SW is handled 

Paris Hilton of msg boards

I think it's (12z Euro) too wound up and tucked in. I'm liking a more offshore track, less phasing/weaker. 

10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

We don't want that Euro solution holy heck

We agree on ssomething. Hopefully the phase is much later and less intense.

26 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I am looking forward to warm dude. Useless cold is useless. Sort of like your posts.

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