Torch Tiger

A quick look at the EC, gfs, ensemble etc. reveals a fairly active pattern for mid-Augughst with perhaps a w or NW flow severe set up thrown in there. It's prime time, let's get it

Finally, a region-wide event where most cash in on at least a t-shower

Endless coc

Saw a few accas :O

Just had one of the better storms of the summer. A real banger

Thundering

next

What a dew, enjoy it folks

The same bear as last week? You'll be chums soon

The signals were there, we take

18z gfs has a really nice setup D7

80's highs 60's lows is the new cool down. Welcome to GW

hankerings for widespread destruction

Fri/Sat are coc, quick return flow and rebound Sunday. Basically 48 coc hours.

GIDLT

Two days? 2.5?

There was talk about long and lengthy coc, now it's barely visible on guidance

Maybe BOS can pull off a +10 for Septorchber

The overhyped two day mild down this weekend is going to be a fleeting memory. We tried to tell 'em.

We pray An upper trough will pivot eastward on Wednesday, spreading 30-40 kt midlevel southwesterly flow across the region. Surface dewpoints in the mid 60s to low 70s will be transported northward across the Piedmont of NC/VA into the Mid-Atlantic vicinity. Strong heating through this corridor will result in moderate to strong instability and thunderstorms will develop over higher terrain during the early afternoon. As convection spreads eastward, some guidance suggests upscale growth is possible, with one or more line segments tracking across the region. Effective shear is somewhat marginal, around 25 kt, and midlevel lapse rates modest. But higher PW values and pockets of steep low-level lapse rates could be sufficient for storm organization along outflows and areas of damaging wind will be possible. At this time, its still unclear where greater potential will develop and will maintain Marginal probs at this time, though upgrades could be needed in subsequent updates if current trends continue.

One of the best (worst) , reminds me of the Cape event a little. That sup was moving along though, 50 kt?

Truly a banger, frantic

Cravings

Another day, another tick backwards of the coming mild down

Yeah, no one ever could have guessed