Torch Tiger

I am headed right to my backyard with an IPA and watching the storms find their graveyard east of orh.

Fugly

My apologies but,If that's your greatest worries as a new homeowner you're in a good spot

Accatt hanging in. ;(

The hyperfocus on cold and snow (even if man-made) is dedication. Lol

Good point

Yeah, I think it'll be a seasonable month, but not a well above scorcher. Probably -.5 to .5

A warm June is toast for most, awt

Up to 60% on our BOC zygote. HH's zipping in tomorrow to investigate!

Spc is pretty gung-ho all things considered. ...Northeast/Mid Atlantic... A longwave upper trough will deepen over the Northeast and Mid Atlantic on Sunday, as individual vorticity maxima rotate through the mean trough position. A surface low should deepen and move northeastward across southern Quebec during the afternoon, as a trailing cold front sweeps through the Northeast/Mid Atlantic during the afternoon and evening. While cloud cover from weakening overnight convection may tend to limit insolation over portions of the area, sufficient heating and low-level moisture (dewpoints in the mid 50s to lower 60s F) should result in the development of moderate buoyancy in advance of the cold front by afternoon. Effective shear of 35-45 kt will support some organized structures; linear modes are most likely given that the primary focusing mechanism will be along the cold front, though any pre-frontal development will have some supercell potential. Damaging wind will likely be the primary threat, though any discrete storms will also have some potential for hail and perhaps a tornado.

June 2020?

We should see a fairly active PM as a strong cold front and near record cold mid-level temps approach by Sunday night. SW flow will likely stick a fork in stronger storms over much of E/SE areas but there may be enough elevated instability and forcing to maintain a few storms there as well. Severe threat seems pretty low overall.

Yeah, looks decent out your way.

TD2 forming, severe threats, temps soaring through the 70s to low 80s...victory

Hankerings

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure accompanied by cloudiness and showers centered over the Yucatan Peninsula is forecast to move westward over the southern Bay of Campeche during the weekend. Some gradual development of this system is possible through early next week as long as it remains over water. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely produce heavy rainfall over portions of southern Mexico during the next few days. Regular issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will begin at 2 AM EDT tonight with the beginning of the Atlantic hurricane season. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Avila/Zelinsky

Gorgeous final day of May, cooling through the 60's with a light breeze and no bugs. Perfection.

Time to fire up a thread banger Sunday into Sunday night ... Low pres tracking SE of the 40N/70W benchmark early Sun may bring a few showers to the outer Cape and Nantucket Sun morning, otherwise skies should become partly sunny. Mid level trough approaches from the Great Lakes with attending cold front moving across New York state in the afternoon. 500 mb temps -14 to -15C combined with surface heating will allow modest instability to develop in the afternoon with SBCAPEs 1000-1500 J/kg, focused in the interior. Best deep layer shear is lagging instability but there is a window during the mid/late afternoon where 1000+ J/kg CAPE coincides with 0-6km shear around 30 kt. Expect scattered showers and t-storms to develop and a few strong to severe storms are possible, mainly interior. Steep low level lapse rates support strong winds with any t-storms but hail also a threat given cold 500 mb temps. Highs should reach well into 70s, except upper 60s east coastal MA and Cape/Islands where sea breezes will keep it cooler.

If you ride a roller coaster and the safety bar releases, and you catapult 300 ft. to your death; is the park to blame, or you for thrill seeking and choosing to ride that day?

It hasn't even been two full months since it's still May. Lol

it's a learning experience

You know it's summer when the main topics are drug ingestion and a/c install s

It's the year without a summer

67.4 for the high. Not a bad day all things considered. A little sun and dews, but a comfortable air temp.

By D10-14 those details are well beyond my scope. I just want to see general agreement of upper features and the spread within. Lol. That's a dreaded rabbit hole to me. Sort of like folks with the worshipping of those new gen cams and simulated radar, etc. I think one of the doctorates wrote in detail about it.