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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. I may eat a huge plate of crow, but we'll see. BOX seems more than "meh" .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... Shortwave moves through the upper flow and drives a cold front through Southern New England. Conditions will remain unstable through the day. Model CAPEs build to 2000-3000 J/Kg which is impressive for Southern New England. Highest values are expected over CT-RI-SE Mass in the afternoon. Favorable instability is also reflected in other indices... Totals around 50, Mid level lapse rates around 6.5, and Lifted Indices well below zero. HREF probability of 0-3 Km Helicity over 100 is 80 percent...over 200 is 30 percent. Winds at 850 mb reach 30 kt, while at 500 mb they reach 40-45 kt. Most of this and other values suggest a potential for strong storms. The values, and the timing of the cold front, favor Northern MA in the morning and CT-RI-SE Mass in the afternoon. Strong wind gusts are the prime concern, but a storm that develops sufficient helicity could generate large hail. We are adding stronger wording to the thunderstorm forecast based on these potentials.
  2. 86.6 on my vp2 with a high of 87.8F. 87.8 is my highest this year.
  3. 12z ec op is a real roasting next week, with a solid svr setup for the weekend. The perfect summer 2019
  4. Yeah, though that may depend which particular backyard you are in.
  5. My expectations are in check, its NE "severe"after all.
  6. I think tomorrow is going to be pretty good.
  7. I like to be fully adjusted/acclimated to HHH. Sit in a/c for long periods and you'll never be comfortable without it.
  8. Yeah, it's usually tolerable up your way, even in the hottest times.
  9. No need to install, love the heat and dews.
  10. Northeast... An upper-level trough will dig southeastward across Ontario on Saturday as a cold front advances southeastward across the northeastern U.S. A moist airmass is forecast ahead of the front with surface dewpoints across southeast New York and southern New England in the mid to upper 60s F. In response, a pocket of moderate instability is forecast to develop by Saturday afternoon. Thunderstorms should develop along the front and move east-southeastward across the region during the early to mid afternoon. Moderate deep-layer shear, veered low-level flow and steep low-level lapse rates will be favorable for damaging wind gusts with the stronger storms. The severe threat should move toward the New England coastal areas by late afternoon. Merp
  11. I just like hearing thoughts on that stuff, no judgment zone
  12. It is 86.3 inside, 77.5 with scalding, burning sun
  13. Timetable for first Northwood, NH? Frost?
  14. Saturday looks like we see a broken line with maybe a couple sups. I so/scattered. If the faster solutions are more correct this may be nothing for a majority.(nothing meaning higher-end regionally or otw).but regardless I would still say there is potential in SNE
  15. The summer is basically over It's time to accept that much. Just a few short weeks away from discussing dry, cool Canadian airmasses and NNE frost
  16. Seabreeze in the vicinity. 80.3
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