Torch Tiger

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...New England into the northern Mid-Atlantic... While the vertical ascent and enhanced flow aloft with the shortwave described in the synopsis will remain predominantly north of the region, a low-amplitude, lead shortwave trough (currently moving through the OH Valley) is expected to move into New England this afternoon. Warm and unstable air mass will be in place ahead of this shortwave, and the expectation is for multiple bands of convection to move across the region this afternoon. Some modest strengthening of the low-level flow (i.e. around 30-35 kt at 850 mb) is anticipated ahead of this shortwave trough, lengthening hodographs and contributing to 0-1 km SRH around 100-150 m2/s2. Overall, wind profiles support occasional supercell structures within predominantly linear multicells. Primary severe threat will be damaging wind gusts but isolated hail and a tornado or two are also possible.

1337 cape 18z, HFD

It's okay to get excited about and even crave damage, but not okay to target particular areas, specific groups or individuals.

Fiyyyahh

Very disturbing stuff, wishing damage and destruction upon people wishing for damage and destruction.

That's funny, missed it. Even the large underground nests? I thought outside exposed nests could die, but larger underground nests hang through the first one at least.

M/W has some decent storms going. We watch Interesting comments by SPC earlier, I would say the pressure falls over ON/QC comment was somewhat geared towards some model errors in storm mode and initiation SE. Not sure.

Hope for cold days because yellow jackets do not die, and are nasty in the fall.

I think most want a pleasant if not mild Sept-Oct. Then we dive into repeated heavy cold shots and mtn snows Pre-Turkey day. Though there's nothing better than the rare 4-5 stretch of crisp nights, 70's highs and Oktoberfests tossed aroud.

Looks like a regional 4-8 type deal with perhaps a 12 lolli. Dave, pickles to Dendy jackpot? Sound the alarms, tweet now, stay vigilant.

EF-2 and complement the dew

The individual model runs and data are conflicting but I'd expect ~6c roughly, which is serviceable. Any lower would hurt though, all things consodered.

weenies will be begging for summer 2020 after this years epic +nao winter disaster

That would be awesome

ML lapse rates don't appear that bad? At least to be a major concern. Of course a stout EML wouldn't hurt

Let's hope tomorrow will provide plenty of excitement and damage.

SNH/CNE is alright in August. At least historically?

I am honored

have a nice bust

banger

Thanks. It's probably our better widespread strong storm setup of the summer. Regionally, not just ene. jmo.

Interesting, thanks. I assume you are talking ENE.

I am still liking Thursday as a possible latr-bloomer for eastern SNE. Mid-August 2004? iirc comes to mind.