Torch Tiger

A few light downpours, nbd

Very complex forecast, wow.

Get after it...time to get excited for awesome

Need said rations for the Long Island cat 3 landfall

Hopefully folks are well prepared for The Great flood of 2019

This is going to be awesome, hopefully it stalls right over Orlando for a few days

Yorian Fixes from the reconnaissance plane indicate that Dorian has been moving toward the northwest or 315 degrees at 11 kt. The cyclone is heading toward a weakness in the Atlantic subtropical ridge, and this motion should continue for the next 2 to 3 days. However, after that time, all global models build a robust ridge over the western Atlantic, and this flow pattern should force Dorian to turn more to the west-northwest toward Florida and the southeast coast of the United States. All indications are that by this Labor Day weekend, a powerful hurricane will be near the Florida or southeastern coast of the United States. The new NHC track forecast is not significantly different from the previous one, and it very closely follows the multi-model consensus TVCA and the HCCA. Users are reminded not to focus on the exact forecast track, as the average 5-day track error is around 200 miles.

I think he's in Salem NH

Yorian?

I like this video..60 years ago and it rings very true today

Cat. 2+ milf?

Directly into Western LI as a strong Cat 3

Intensity busts as well as near stationary cyclones, etc. other factors still display the weaknesses of today's models. Watching this weak TD curve 350mi. SE of Nantucket is boring, though

I don't notice any difference than past years.

TD6 is a mess

Strugglin'

BOS 1.9 HFD 1.2 PVD 1.3 ORH .6

Maybe dryslot's kids and grandkids can help him read this

Perfect

My hood had around 24", we were on generator for 8 days. valley areas were around 16-20". I measured up the road at 1k, was closer to 29-30".

There was a very tiny area that had precip intensity enough to cool the BL in the 2009 event I was talking about. That was on the NW side of Pelham, NH . no one west of the river had much of anything, even higher up.

That was a fun one. No snow near 250' in SNH, but I was determined to find it. hiked to 520' , the same town, and found gigantic flakes and nearing 3".

Until then expect excessive boring, warm, sunny, very dry days and cool nights. Very very dry.

Winter is creeping in. There maybe an early snowfall this year. If so, I'd say by Oct. 10th-15th (a wee bit early). it's time to hang up summer and we go immediately into winter. I remember a little event in 2009? which dropped 3" in elevated S NH , Oct -15 or 16th, iirc.