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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. A redux of Hazel or King would set this forum on fire
  2. The UL jet needs to be west of where the gfs has it.
  3. A nice end/near end to convectve season today. A decent storm ending with a sunset, behind heavy rain and lightning
  4. Had some winds here, I bet it was better close by.
  5. Please not Hillary again, I am tired of 3rd-6th party voting
  6. Looks like a severe storm in S VT, heading towards the CRV and LEB generally.
  7. SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of intensifying thunderstorm development are expected this afternoon along and ahead of a cold front. Adequate instability along with very strong deep-layer winds will yield the potential for storms capable of damaging winds and some hail. A tornado or two cannot be ruled out mainly across southeast New York into southern New England. The severe risk will diminish from west to east across the region by early/mid-evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Laconia NH to 35 miles east southeast of Allentown PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
  8. Yes...we need a little hype around here though.
  9. If wishing this storm way west is wrong, I don't want to be right. It's too bad there is a limit how far west it can come.
  10. We'll get more wind damage tomorrow than Florida sees from that offshore raggedcane
  11. There will be a shot at a landfall or scrape jmo. I've been looking at some analogs and general UA and it seems with a partial capture, a bend NNE is on the table. Of course that's an eternity away, where exactly that occurs and Dorian's condition at the time. A west track would include life partially over land, also over cooler waters later on. a track along the GS would carry a stronger system but the storm would probably not be able to make that latitude.
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