Torch Tiger

I would say the odds favor a secondary development across SNE more than south of SNE

Ggem had it yesterday, as you probably know. In fact probably a better solution than the gfs today.

tried to tell 'em

that solution is weenie x 10 but minus the specifics, a legit possibility.

sne needs this...at least heavy ice

Everything isn't favorable?

Loud rolling thunder to my east..banger

it's raining

35.5/28

Good for NNE!

November goes out with a whimper for snow lovers, it's time to discuss December and the wx impacts for the Holiday season. Perhaps a strong storm with a hugger/ coastal transfer to begin the month? Discuss.

Yeah, I was speaking for the populations of most of NE, esp. SNE. We want this rainer in and out asap. Looking onward to met winter here.

there's no "big -PNA" coming, a drop yes but roughly -1 sd is forecasted

Instead of speculating about a D8-10 threat, what else is there? The misery of November? The great Turkey Day cutter of 2019...

The 12z ggem wasn't far off

With smoothing and etc., the ensemble it not far off from the op. That could end up a colder system seeing there's decent blocking though

deleting the December thread, ETan, there is no where proper to discuss the cutter.

the cutter tracks too far west for Chicago

life become much easier and less stressful when you can tolerate others opinions you don't like btw hope any SE trend is done, hopefully the ml low and precip shield trends back the other way

2012-04-15 80 55 67.5 18.1 0 3 T 0.0 2012-04-16 92 58 75.0 25.2 0 10 0.00 0.0 2012-04-17 78 53 65.5 15.3 0 1 0.00 0.0 2012-04-18 62 45 53.5 2.9 11 0 0.00 0.0 2012-04-19 73 43 58.0 7.1 7 0 0.00 0.0 2012-04-20 77 47 62.0 10.7 3 0 0.00 0.0 2012-04-21 78 57 67.5 15.8 0 3 0.02 0.0 2012-04-22 57 43 50.0 -2.0 15 0 1.84 0.0 2012-04-23 62 43 52.5 0.1 12 0 0.92 0.0

Could have put them in during that March torch, but April the latest

how did that work out in 2012? this month is the role reversal

Too bad for the early maturing bomb, blocking and secondary transfer on the 12z Euro D9, we could really torch otherwise

great, heavy rain to dryslot to a wrap around 1-2". Marking my calendar

I am in a LC mood for this one and hope it's mostly zr for the interior elevations. That'll teach 'em