Torch Tiger

18z gfs is horrible here

looks better than last night for us

I understand, warned about this a few days ago. My main concern then was too much warm air and eventual dryslot, and watching the ccb snow itself out way west and north. now some h7 maps look close to that. Basically a hugger for all intents and purposes

we are toast if the waa snow/ice underperforms

Yeah, I was going to go into more detail but that is likely

Is this updated?

I'll look for Ryan's map. For this area, jmo heavy caution flags waving south of the pike/ E MA/RI.

4-8 for N CT seems right, room to go higher or lower

After this overhyped mixed messy system, not much to look at

it's over, had a feeling the warm nose would be further north and southern areas wouldn't recover. Oh well, next

Looks run of the mill for E MA

don't look at it

Kev called it

congrats

congrats Ginx, you win

you will learn

so much weenie going on

current weenie threshold (locally) 4-8" = solid 8"+ = banger <4" bust

enjoy

congrats nne

slow unraveling into a 3-6"er

Havent been following closely the past few days but already afraid to look at soundings and fear how this story plays out. even if models show 925/850/700 0c line near or south of any given point, there will inevitably be a warmer layer in there ripping north quicker and farther N than anticipated to muck everything up and when that happens, its basically over for the waa part. then we are relying on the wcb ml banding to make up for the sneaky changeover that happened sooner than predicted. I'm not saying it is time to panic in much of SNE, but it is close.

Anything under 12" is a fail here

Need to watch the dryslot that will be approaching, too. May shut things down quickly for some