Torch Tiger
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Everything posted by Torch Tiger
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60-70 mph gusts ... I'll take the under on that Euro
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The 3km nam sim radar had what looked to be supercell south of MVY earlier. Heh
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Seems ORH is "due"! Kidding, heh.
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Do positive departures Nov/Oct correlate?
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thanks forky
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Maybe it is voodoo, you are the winter/snow fella and I'll defer. Lol
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I don't want to correlate northern mountain sub-climate with SNE populations, you could be right. In fact I'm going with a decent winter for NNE resorts.
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Perhaps, you know what I meant though..wcb winds, not dcb. CAA gusts are typically not very exciting.
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Cold snowy October/November..we know where that path usually leads.
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Many will not even see 20 G30.
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I'll sell on 58kt here.
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IF that's the case. I don't know.
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Maybe, but what I am saying is that with less convective feedback and spurious low (s) south and east, that would probably allow (in totality) baroclinicity to lie a bit west of some of these solutions.
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I'm guessing that with less emphasis on the * meso lows, as time goes on, the modeled intensity and track should be weaker/west? I didn't see in-between hours on the Euro. The Ukie was relatively hi-hum with intensity and would seem to dry slots eastern, and maybe central SNE.
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Tobin would be closed to pedestrian traffic
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I thought this one was setting records for Oct. mslp?
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Still want this to wrap up sooner and west, for a regional wind threat.
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There will be no power and all lines of communication lost
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This looks reasonable
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negative tilt trof winds 50+ down to GA...oke
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We may as well break out the chainsaws and safely take them all down now.
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that map though...
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I am not saying any solution is "correct", but these 970mb solutions ripping through CT and c/e MA just aren't going to happen. GFS will come back west some but probably meet in the middle with a 975-980mb low wrapping up east and NE of Boston, and the model consensus seems to be in that ballpark. Too little too late for anything big, another mediocre no'easter for most...but at least some much needed rain.
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Continued wagons east and weaker on the gfs. Still seems more likely to me.
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Outside of that squall/fine line,potential. could be a big wind maker. Gfs with a 972mb cutter and fully warm sectored on SSW winds
