Torch Tiger

This is going to be a sneaky big event imo.

Hopefully the finest line ever Thursday night into Friday... Deepening mid level low lifts NE across the Gt Lakes and into Canada. Main surface low will be tracking well to the north with attending cold sweeping across SNE late Thu night into early Fri. Robust low level jet increasing and peaking around 70+ kts as it crosses NE New Eng late Thu night/early Fri. Wind and PWAT anomalies 4-5SD above normal which is a strong signal for a period of heavy rainfall and strong wind gusts. Some elevated instability exists so potential for a fine line of convection along the front as it sweeps through. Further details will become available on Wed as event is captured within the time range of the hi-res CAMs. Temps will be quite mild Thu night ahead of the front with readings well into the 60s and may top out around 70 in eastern New Eng. This will help to enhance low level mixing with potential for strong to damaging wind gusts in eastern New Eng which would be enhanced if any convective fine line develops. Wind headlines may be needed.

banger

Nice week upcoming. No real bn temps, wind event early Friday, everything is awesome

Hope so

GYX may be bringing 'em up by Friday The boundary may stall across the Gulf of Maine or just shy of it as a negatively tilting upper low moves out of the Midwest and quickly swings northeast just north of the international border by Friday morning. This will set us up for an intense synoptic-scale forcing event which hopefully arrives overnight after the trick-or-treating ends. Confidence in this scenario is moderate and increasing as long term models continue to agree on certain details. Friday will be a soaking for everyone as the system lifts across the area. High PWATs, deep warm cloud depths, and a drawn out rain event all point toward some river flooding concerns. Ensemble forecasts are indicating that several rivers may reach action stage.

Hopefully it really ramps up into one of those real special events with a fine line 50-70mph regionwide

First things first, that's a heck of a cutter next Friday.

48.6. I believe this is the first nasty Sunday in a while

Take 'em down out west

Uncold in southern areas... 60/58 westerly

winter in winter

Nasty day out there. But it's better than the alternative.

What was the ratter winter where everyone wanted to set futility records, then came along Spring snow and ruined it? 15-16?

A ratter is a winter that Dec. -Feb. is generally bad. A random March April event or two that melts in 6 hours should be factored in.

31? I have dreams of 61 and chasing. Lol Anyway, unless you have a very reliable vehicle with at least decent gas mileage, it may be better to rent one. Just my experience from driving very long distances more than a few times. Even a renegade flat which leads to something, or small issue with bad timing can cost a day or even more.

Not sure about that.12Z euro op does have seasonable cold for the first week though. I'd probably side with avg. through Nov 15th.

I agree, no snark

4/1 was virga and 40F, that probably ruined my perception a bit.

Where I was in NH, it was a ratter. I honestly forget the specifics for sne Edit, Will to the rescue

It wasn't at all.

Nice day out there. Everyone's happy with 50s and 60s.

On 10/16/2019 at 8:19 AM, Snow88

https://www.google.com/amp/s/observer.com/2011/10/the-neuroses-of-new-york/amp/ I always wondered why a select few posters cry and complain more than a JV cheerleading squad. Very enlightening.