Torch Tiger

there's no "big -PNA" coming, a drop yes but roughly -1 sd is forecasted

Instead of speculating about a D8-10 threat, what else is there? The misery of November? The great Turkey Day cutter of 2019...

The 12z ggem wasn't far off

With smoothing and etc., the ensemble it not far off from the op. That could end up a colder system seeing there's decent blocking though

deleting the December thread, ETan, there is no where proper to discuss the cutter.

the cutter tracks too far west for Chicago

life become much easier and less stressful when you can tolerate others opinions you don't like btw hope any SE trend is done, hopefully the ml low and precip shield trends back the other way

2012-04-15 80 55 67.5 18.1 0 3 T 0.0 2012-04-16 92 58 75.0 25.2 0 10 0.00 0.0 2012-04-17 78 53 65.5 15.3 0 1 0.00 0.0 2012-04-18 62 45 53.5 2.9 11 0 0.00 0.0 2012-04-19 73 43 58.0 7.1 7 0 0.00 0.0 2012-04-20 77 47 62.0 10.7 3 0 0.00 0.0 2012-04-21 78 57 67.5 15.8 0 3 0.02 0.0 2012-04-22 57 43 50.0 -2.0 15 0 1.84 0.0 2012-04-23 62 43 52.5 0.1 12 0 0.92 0.0

Could have put them in during that March torch, but April the latest

how did that work out in 2012? this month is the role reversal

Too bad for the early maturing bomb, blocking and secondary transfer on the 12z Euro D9, we could really torch otherwise

great, heavy rain to dryslot to a wrap around 1-2". Marking my calendar

I am in a LC mood for this one and hope it's mostly zr for the interior elevations. That'll teach 'em

Not much talk of wind impacts from BOX. Shouldn't be a big issue down there?

Let's see this baby amp way up, maybe we can dryslot down here in SNE for a decent day

two out of the three are right, and we know the gfs ain't

Everything is favorable?

what's with the optimism in here today? Besides a cutter and Scooby Doo float lofting hundreds of feet above the G.W., pretty boring and dry between cutters.

rough stuff

pregame 3-6, you know.

Starting with at least 3-6" from this one

this may be our best coastal until next April

this thread is full-on weenie.

killed a mosquito yesterday

Real nice day out there, dews too. hopefully plenty more to come this winter. Zero complaints from anyone