If this trough develops, it is expected to continue across the Great
Lakes and Northeast for the Sunday/D6 to Monday/D7 period.
Increasing flow fields with such a trough would likely result in
increased severe potential, conditional on sufficient instability
developing. Details aside, the primary message for the D4-8 period
is a breakdown of the upper ridge in the East, with a somewhat
progressive northern-stream storm track along the northern border
states, with at least low-end severe areas likely in later outlooks
as predictability increases.
..Jewell.. 06/18/2024