Torch Tiger

52.2, not terrible

It looks like we'll see at least a low-end wind event Monday. Gusts 40-60 should be pretty common, maybe higher, with copious rainfall amounts. Maybe the final "bomb" for us until next winter. Discuss

at the minimum, can always bring em up later if warranted

most of the damage should be pretty light, nusciance variety, but damaging nonetheless

see 60F sfc and nearly 100kt h85. Subtract 60% and that's damij

what a crushing incoming

D10 euro op has another intense cutter, take

96-99 that was my visual marker for the snow line. Even in October that hill would be covered, I think it's around 2300' but maybe a little higher

Its hailing/graupel again

great, finally some weather of interest after months of winter boredom/doldrums and temp talk

weak Nino = often big for the mid south-SE

nice!

It's hailing

nam looks good

BW Stevenson was the best country/top 40 crossover of that time imo

it's interesting because both the gfs and euro flagged this 8-9 days out. Heh

On 3/30/2020 at 3:40 PM, Dr. Dews said: D9-10 euro had another convective threat lfg? ...Southern New England... Secondary surface cyclogenesis will likely be ongoing early Thursday morning across portions of southern New England, with the resulting low continuing to deepen as it moves into Downeast Maine Thursday evening. In addition to the mesoscale forcing provided by this cyclogenesis, the first of the pair of shortwaves mentioned in the synopsis will move into the region during the early afternoon. The better low-level moisture and buoyancy will be displaced farther south, but there is expected to be enough low-level moisture to support modest elevated instability as mid-level temperatures cool and lapse rates steepen. As such, thunderstorms are expected within the warm conveyor as well as along the front. The strong flow aloft will support fast storm motions as well as the potential for a few more organized/stronger storms capable of hail and/or downdrafts strong enough to penetrate the low-level stability to produce damaging wind gusts at the surface.

enjoy it..cherish

still running that fever

what a night. 58.2

Yeah, that is all true. lack of snow cover from said w/wsw angle of approach too. Obviously

I don't know, maybe slightly overdone? There should be some very cold nights up your way and esp. NNE

Euro is brutal late next week

..Southern New England/Mid Atlantic into the Southeast... Multiple clusters of thunderstorms may be ongoing at the start of the period Thursday morning from portions of the Mid Atlantic into the Southeast. The location and severity of any such clusters is quite uncertain at this point, but weak-to-moderate instability and favorable deep-layer shear will support some wind/hail risk from Thursday morning into at least the early afternoon. Large-scale ascent is forecast to generally weaken Thursday afternoon, resulting in a general decrease in storm coverage and intensity with time along the surface boundary. Further north into southern New England, strongly forced frontal convection will be possible from late morning into the afternoon. If sufficient low-level moistening occurs ahead of the front, some damaging wind threat may evolve, but confidence is too low at this time for any probabilities this far north.

yes please