The ensembles will smooth that out but if it's for real <940mb, I suspect we will see subtle changes with in the means going forward.. including u/a stuff upstream. probably not the direction most want to see
back on-topic, how about that modeled N Atl cyclone, esemble smoothing aside. That's a thing of beauty. Talk of record setting daily AO in that range. what a winter
we can compromise. solid 85/65s with few excessive heat outbreaks, if any. But also no faux early fall cool shots. Good old fashioned summer wx wire-to-wire jja. Deal?
Sunday night through Wednesday...
A more robust areas of rain (and potentially interior snow) moves in
overnight and during the early hours of Monday. This as a trough and
sfc low cross well to our northwest (which limits cold air/snow
potential outside of the higher elevations of the interior). Overall
the flow pattern remains remarkably zonal and progressive which will
minimize the time this or any subsequent systems impacts the region.
Lots of details to be worked out but overall we will likely stay
rather active next week with Monday`s system followed by a brief
break then another system to follow, it not two more by mid week.
Temperatures should remain quite mild/above average, in the 40s as the zonal flow precludes any intrusions of real arctic air.
Foster RI, higher up and further inland than Sterling or whatever averages mid 50's or thereabouts. The vast majority of East central CT averages 40-50, which is what I am concerned with.
Similar boat...before my back and hip injuries, as well as a 2nd operation on my right leg, I was hitting over 300 with a cheap steel taylor made. Hoping to play a little this year, though it's been around 10 years.
You average maybe 40-50" a year, you're at 21.1. That's one decent snowstorm and a few throw aways from average. Hardly a bad winter so far, definitely not great
Agree, yes after a couple years of doing this I know about the pretty 5h colors...heh. I am not saying it'll be a disaster, or even the EPS look that way, they don't...unless you're in like DC or something