Torch Tiger

coc length extended through later next week

Next winter is over ten months from now. Sweet

Yeah, it is chilly with the setting sun. Ramp that dew up to low 60s and its perfect for May

Perfect April/May

it's another nice one. 63.4

yeah, again right thru next winter

what an incredible run of weather. very very long summer incoming

very very lucky to get that blocking to pop and deflect that awful mess south. I think eckster mentioned that a few days ago on gyx afd

it was the equiv of a 4-8" snow event to winter weenies

hope so

three nice days in a row, FTR

40mph, a few branches down but nothing like when it rolled through outside 495. Impressive lightning anyway, a few green flashes towards chelmsford and lowell

Lots of lightning, every 5 seconds

want

over/under on ski lift blowdowns in S VT?

nice sky right now

The late arrival isn't always bad. 8/10/00 esp. If atmosphere isn't worked over, with decent shear

box seems to cover it well in the afd

no comraderie at all, and maybe the best event of the summer...wow

maybe, just maybe a thundersprinkle later on

we stay dry

we stay dry...dry cfp

Oops nm, from this afternoon.

let's get after it ...Northeast States and Ohio Valley regions... Shortwave trough now situated over ND near the international border will continue into the Great Lakes Friday, reaching the northeast states later Friday afternoon and evening. A low amplitude impulse may precede this feature. By late afternoon the accompanying cold front should extend from a surface low in upstate NY southwest into the lower Great Lakes and OH Valley. Warm front will extend from the surface low through southern New England. Modest low-level moisture with upper 50s to around 60 F dewpoints will advect through the pre-frontal warm sector and contribute to 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE as the surface layer warms during the afternoon. Thunderstorms are expected to redevelop along and ahead of the front by early to mid afternoon within the weakly capped, destabilizing warm sector. A mid-level jet within the base of the approaching shortwave trough will contribute to 35-45 kt effective bulk shear over the northeast U.S. supporting organized storms including a few supercells and bowing segments with damaging wind the main threat. The low-level jet is forecast to strengthen by late afternoon into early evening across the northeast U.S. with 0-1 km hodographs becoming sufficient for isolated tornadoes, especially with any storms interacting with the warm front across southern New England. Farther west across OH, deep-layer shear will be weaker, but wind profiles with 40-45 kt flow in the 700-500 mb layer will be supportive of a few damaging wind gusts as the boundary layer destabilizes during the afternoon.