Torch Tiger

The warm, moist air that is advected into SNE during the day on Wednesday behind a warm front will lead to much more humid conditions and destabilization, especially for areas south of a Hartford-Worcester-Boston line. This is because hi-res guidance is indicating a weak shortwave and cold front ahead of the main front which may keep dewpoints lower in northwest/north central MA as it stalls overhead. Convergence associated with this boundary may be the focus for a few isolated thunderstorms Wednesday evening ahead of the main line, but the bulk of the action should be overnight, between 8pm and 4am as the cold front crosses the region.

^^

yeah I mentioned that earlier, it'll be the demarcation where there is wind dmg potential. Probably near you to ginx

hey ride it?

Yeah models seem to pivot more ENE than straight east, something to watch

you're in a good spot, but "another" makes it sound like we get those regularly

Radar looks 10x better than the last "event"

new HRRR looks worse than past runs, though. It's got the subtle wind shift boundary near C RI/CT by 04z. That's probably where the better storms will be, hopefully a FM supercell of course.

3k and 12k look alright. 3k actually fires up a few big 'uns 5-7pm BOS metro

looking at radar in a few hours

SW CT wiped? wow

best storms should follow that cape/wind shift boundary over N PA. Extrapolate that east and it's basically a S coast event.

Radar looks solid NW PA/WNY. Still looks like pike-south event, unfortunately. Hopefully we get some rains and a distant flash or two up here

Wild Wednesday still on?

http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo/aug10.htm imagine this happens tomorrow... it won't, but yeah

Wild Wednesday upcoming

I am as close or closer? to LWM than BED

Yeah, he's trolling because he lives near the ocean. Also questioned my VP2 a few/3 years ago, got a lucky wind direction (w wnw) to ramp up temps to 97ish and said I was inflating. Hate to see a coastal person accusing others of that

18z gfs has rounds of severe shots into July. Hopefully one pans out

disappointing to everyone but thankfully it's short-lived, and hopefully a very hot and muggy July ahead.

Meanwhile 3k NAM has a nice look for 0z-6z, mostly southern zones

Yeah it always looked more sw

Thread for Wednesday/night?

There's more than that, but yeah. Looks much more interesting than today