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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. Ahead of the front, a seasonally moist airmass will be in place, with mid/upper 60s F dewpoints common. While midlevel lapse rates will remain modest, heating into the 80s F will support 1000-2000 J/kg MLCAPE. Deep-layer flow will remain mostly unidirectional, though increasing speeds with height will support 35-45 kt effective shear magnitudes across the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England. As a result, organized supercells and bowing clusters are possible. Steep low-level lapse rates and high PW values, combined with rather weak low-level shear will favor damaging gust potential. Modest lapse rates and somewhat warm temperatures aloft will limit the large hail potential, but any organized/sustained supercell could produce marginally severe hail.
  2. Temperatures... An unremarkable temperature forecast for the extended forecast period, with no big intrusions of especially hot or cold air expected. 850 mb temps hover around 12-13C each day which will lead to surface highs in the 80s each day, perhaps a bit cooler behind Tuesday`s shortwave. oh only 80's
  3. yeah wow, remember when people said Stein was no big deal, not worth watching...now here we are
  4. just had a day in the U80's to 90's regionwide, in fact HFD had back-to-back 90+
  5. Staggering dews on Saturday, gonna be a hot one
  6. great storm, had to shut down the PCs. Had at least 5 c/g within 1 mile
  7. nice summer night out there, even a few light bangers moving across SNH. take
  8. I just want extensive damage from severe storms
  9. Yeah I don't recall specifically, IIRC '88 was a fairly hot summer, '89 was more normal. Neither below much ( at least for SNE), but I could be wrong
  10. wow Friday into Sunday... Looks like Friday will be the best chance for widespread 90s, all the way to the eastern MA coast. 925mb temps rise to +23 to +26C and with Bufkit soundings showing strong southwesterly flow with boundary layer winds 25 to 30 kt, should see widespread low to mid 90s with even a few upper 90s possible. Blended guidance shows dew points on the rise into the low to mid 60s but if such deep boundary layer mixing materializes, lower dew points on top of the BL will mix down and the breezy if not gusty conditions should help make the heat feel more manageable. Also, with a southwest wind, coolest spots will be across the south coast into Cape Cod and Islands with Merrimack valley being the warmest spots.
  11. My daughter turns 18 in September Big year ahead
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