Torch Tiger

Tuesday... Cloud cover on the decrease as high pressure reasserts itself into southern New England. Will be a bit breezy especially earlier in the day as the pressure gradient tightens due to the deepening low to the northeast and high building in. Have gone with the NAMNest/ARW/GFS guidance for winds and gusts. This shows that we could tap into some 20-25 kt gusts within the mixed layer. @@Winds shift to the W and eventually the NW, which will promote downsloping. @@Given this setup have increased high temperatures toward the 80th percentile of guidance and lowered dew points to the 15th percentile of guidance. The result is high temperatures in the low to mid 50s across much of the region. take them up up up

We will definitely need to monitor the drought over the coming weeks, at least it's something to track.

I am talking about an extended cold pattern that resembles late winter. 1997 was not that, either

Yeah, winter ended there in late Feb. as we discussed. Slower winter rot in here SNE

Those two are the vocal ones, but plenty of folks are holding onto false hope, like an ex coming back into their life. Hopefully by fathers day they have come around

only the hardcore winter weenies are holding out, bless their little hearts. Most of us knew winter was done NYC-south weeks ago, and is now done in SNE.

weaklies? pattern looks pretty hostile for much snow

there never was a snowy pattern

some will lie out of moral obligation, but deep down crave a '38. Take that to the bank

After you hit 80F? Great I guess

victory Given such a strong signal for temperatures to overperform, have used the 90th percentile of guidance for forecast highs for Tuesday and Wednesday while the maximum of guidance for Thursday. Should there be more sun than clouds on Thursday, would not be surprised to see upper 60s or even a few 70 degree readings especially in the CT River valley and Merrimack Valley, which tends to see temperatures overperform due to downsloping. Forecast wise, we have mid to upper 50s on Tuesday, upper 50s to low 60s for Wednesday and low to mid 60 s for Thursday. As with a stout southwest flow, locations away from the immediate coast will be warmest with coastal locations around 10 degrees cooler due to cold SSTs. Low temperatures overnight Tuesday into Wednesday as well as overnight Wednesday into Thursday are also adjusted using the 75th percentile of guidance as warm air advection continues in earnest. It is not out of the question that we could see 60s on Friday as well, especially locations in Eastern MA and RI, especially if the wind shift does not occur till the afternoon hours and the sun can break out following morning precipitation. Then it looks like much cooler but seasonable temperatures for the weekend.

Hope someone near NYC breaks 70F next week! Let's go!

4/97....3/93... pass otherwise

Exciting times ahead!

do you have my 21 bun salute img?

preparations are underway

All I ask is to avoid weeks worth of Atlantic trainwreck 36F NE wind and drizzle

850s don't always tell the story, esp. with any mid-March partial or full sun. Anyway, I was more referring to the large continental +anomaly rather than locally.

Looks amazing

A- winter. Mild with a few big snow events thrown in, nearly zero arctic air. hard to beat.

that would be exciting. 15F in Holliston and 31F here though

gfs looks toasty after our 2ft. blizzard

GGEM lol

1-3" left here, a few bare spots finally creeping in. 39.9 high so far

keep faith