Torch Tiger

12z guidance was wild with s/w timing differences next week. Should see at least one decent severe wx day with that look though?

GGEM is a crusher Wednesday

What a dew today. Wow

80F dews are on board for far SE MA/Cape Cod as we bump into mid-late summer

folks can't recall these dews, but these summers can pop off depending on location and ocean proxy

That's a good looking storm headed for SE NH

Yeah looks like that northern one has a bit of a s component/development Or radar hallucinations..

Yeah some monster seasons there. though most of us have already seen the analogs, I pulled them from the full forecast Table 12: Analog years for 2024 with the associated hurricane activity listed for each year. Year NS NSD H HD MH MHD ACE NTC 1886 12 84.25 10 49.50 4 4.50 166.2 155.3 1926 11 86.75 8 58.50 6 22.75 229.6 230.3 1933 20 125.25 11 57.00 6 21.75 258.6 263.1 1995 19 120.50 11 60.25 5 11.75 227.4 221.3 2005 28 126.25 15 49.75 7 17.50 245.3 276.7 2010 19 89.50 12 38.50 5 11.00 165.5 196.4 2020 30 122.75 14 35.25 7 8.25 180.4 235.5 Average 19.9 107.9 11.6 49.8 5.7 13.9 217.8 237.2 2024 Forecast 25 125 12 50 6 16 230 240

gorgeous!

Hot one in Portland, ME. 95 on carle therm, probably 90ish? @11am

it is!

Doin the dew, and there's nothing you can do

that damn song was stuck in my head yesterday lol

thank Kev

Brockton Jr.

Special summer. All I can say is wow!

looks light

it's not data-fill

envy

Let's get after that EML event, then a Hugo displaced 500mi? north

'89

sheesh

GEFS/EPS bring back significant heat

One of the best childhood storms I can remember, and it was FMH cape cod. It was later at night but there was incredible lightning, pea size hail, 50mph gusts. 1 hours worth

Euro/gfs have an "89" type severe threat ~D10