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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. I guess. We have plenty of HHH weekends with torrid dews coming
  2. Can't complain about the 2 day hiccup, at least it isn't snow. Next week recovers nicely
  3. Perhaps a rain shower, distant rumble and quick gust of wind here. Hopefully
  4. meanwhile as we discussed a few weeks back, our first decent shot at storms tomorrow! The main forecast concern is the potential for a few strong to severe t-storms in the afternoon in the interior. Mid level shortwave will be moving across Gt Lakes with a pre-frontal trough moving into SNE in the afternoon which will be a focus for convection. Decent instability develops in the interior with CAPES 1000-1500 J/kg and increasing wind field results in deep layer shear 30-35 kt supporting storm organization and potential severe weather. CAMs are showing some broken line segments moving into interior SNE during afternoon with damaging wind being the main threat. However, forecast soundings also show decent turning in the lowest 3km in the CT valley with effective SRH 100-200 m2/s2, aided by backed low level flow and there is favorable 0-3km CAPE, so can`t rule out an isolated tornado with any discrete storms. Will continue to monitor with later forecasts.
  5. A two minute light rain shower 83.5
  6. Legit summer, congrats all!
  7. BDL +.3 before today, up up up
  8. Special times. Wednesday and Thursday... Some uncertainty out in this timeframe with respect to troughs timing and amplitude for mid to late in the week. This will bring the next shot of rainfall to southern New England as a front moves through. Right now it appears that the timing will be late on Wednesday into Thursday. Vastly different output from the deterministic guidance with much wetter GFS solution and drier ECMWF/GEM solution. Have leaned on the NBM given the differences, which keeps chances of precipitation. Am fairly confidence in the warmth on Wednesday given good model agreement in thermal fields. High temperatures in the 80s to low 90s. Cools down on Thursday as the NBM has the front pass through. Highs in the 70s to low 80s. &&
  9. Just saw a couple fireflies, first of the summer!
  10. Temps are nice anyway, the super low dews are crap. pretty decent stretch for May though.
  11. Yeah, looks very very dry for most with little dews and moisture pooling ahead of these s/ws and cfs.
  12. Incredible amounts of pollen with the hot and dry conditions
  13. Wish dews were more robust, looks
  14. 80.5 currently, 81.3 hi. Torch!
  15. GFS and GEM look good May 24-26th
  16. 76.9 for the high, nice and summery. Steinstruck here between showers to the N and S.
  17. Discussing the overall pattern and vibe is not trolling.
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