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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. Can we go into storm mode, please? mods?
  2. I'm getting those cravings...that'd be sick
  3. Irene also dropped 10-12" in max zones moving fairly briskly
  4. Easily 5-10 of rain if not 20" verbatim
  5. Epic track, but it's so damn slow.
  6. 78hr hwrf has Henri around 30mi south of MVY, 972mb, moving NNW.
  7. NOGAPs is way west, basically into NYC
  8. Today, but I haven't been tracking that closely. wxwatcher007 mentioned it earlier though In addition to the Air Force aircraft that flies through the storm, the NOAA Gulfstream IV jet will also be flying around Henri later today to help assess the environmental conditions and gather data for the numerical models. It is hoped that these data will help the models more accurately predict the future track of the storm.
  9. Yeah, trash right now. Need that aircraft sampling
  10. One of the 3 best global models for TC's. I was #2 for a few years, right?
  11. Ukie is big...966 near central LI
  12. I saw that damage first-hand a few months later in 01, also Rita. Insane rain totals
  13. would be hilarious to see this thing weaken as the shear lessens
  14. Cravings. I wouldn't discount a period of RI and maybe a cat 4.
  15. One thing I noticed is that there is a stronger/more well-defined and better positioned 300mb and 250mb jet across the eastern Lakes on the NAM the past few cycles. Interesting
  16. Yeah the center probably won't get that far west. Regardless SST's easily support a major hurricane east of that rocket fuel and the western edge of the storm should be over that area.
  17. If this is a Cat 4 or bordering 5 near or after it makes the turn. (highly unlikely but not impossible), we could be dealing with a very different situation. Let's go!
  18. Buoy east of HAT, near Henri's projected path. NDBC Location: 34.775N 72.167W Date: Wed, 18 Aug 2021 21:20:00 UTC Winds: ESE (120°) at 7.8 kt gusting to 9.7 kt Atmospheric Pressure: 30.19 in Air Temperature: 83.7 F Dew Point: 76.8 F Water Temperature: 84.6 F
  19. Yeah, that could be the case. Above normal SSTs and wedged within a fairly deep? tropical airmass could be upsides to sustaining itself a bit longer.
  20. On the NAM (lol), travels roughly 275-300 miles in 18 hours. 12z Sat- 06z Sun..looks like around 20mph or maybe a bit faster on the last 6 hours of that, though.
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