Torch Tiger

Yeah watch at 3:20. Congrats all!

DISCUSSION...Convection is gradually increasing in coverage and intensity across parts of central PA into central/eastern NY along/east of a weak surface trough and zone of differential heating. Some of these storms have a history of producing both marginally severe hail and damaging wind gusts across central NY. Recent surface observations and area VWPs show low-level winds are generally veered to west-southwesterly, which is limiting low-level convergence. Still, current expectations are for the ongoing convection to gradually spread eastward across parts of northeastern PA into far northern NJ, southern NY, and CT/RI/MA through the remainder of the afternoon. Around 30-40 kt of deep-layer shear and 1000-1500 J/kg of MLCAPE should be sufficient for an organized severe threat. The primary risk should be scattered severe/damaging wind gusts as storms will probably tend to form into small bowing clusters with eastward extent. But, occasional marginally severe hail may also occur with any convection that can remain semi-discrete. A downstream Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be needed.

95.4

Nice dude. Glad you and the fam are okay

Let's go!

98.7 for the high, down to 94.7

i have a davis vp 2 with fars, it's reasonably accurate. maybe a touch high

My last ob for a bit, 98.6 at 12:35! Special day

winter is over in 8 months

bitterly hot 97.4 at 12:15

84.6 at 10pm

Wednesday looks fun. Should see a slight risk

94.5, beautiful

84.8 torch

Yeah, the very very high dews will eventually break but basically a dew/warm down

Sneaky nice day out there, 83.4 and muggy uggy.

I'm ready to absolutely bake in oppressive heat and humidity.

Looks pretty tropical/dewy after this mild down

Flooding in Peabody, MA? Closed road from Webster St to Wallis St. Start time:6/22/2021 2:55 PM Est. end time:Unknown

South shore getting smoked...sweet. congrats

Hopefully a few sprinkles overnight.

the 18z gfs output does have measurable qpf across far SNE/SW areas Saturday pm-night. This coincides with some mesos targeting this area over a few cycles. Maybe a later pm/night shower/storm across the S waters?

Beautiful night out there. Nice dews and breeze, certainly not hot or even warm.. but mild and summery.

Saturday storm chances dwindling...dry times ahead, besides the dews.

I can only recall a handful of days where the Coc had been slapped down like today.