robability of Watch Issuance...60 percent
SUMMARY...A small severe thunderstorm watch is being considered for
the areas east of an ongoing cluster near the VT/MA/NY border. This
activity is expected to move to the I-95 corridor. Isolated strong
to severe gusts are possible.
DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows a cluster of storms near the
VT/MA/NY border as of 345pm. This activity is located to the east
of an eastward-moving MCV currently located over central NY. The
Albany, NY ASOS recently observed a gust of 39 kt. The airmass over
southern New England has warmed into the lower 90s with dewpoints
generally in the lower 70s. It appears at least an isolated risk
for strong to locally severe gusts will materialize east of severe
thunderstorm watch 432. The overall coverage of damaging gusts is
still in question but some risk appears to be increasing through the
early evening.