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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. notable month, also the massive differences in overall sensible wx between SNE and NNE.
  2. wow didn't know BDL was +4.6 going into today, another sizable jump today!
  3. Yeah week 2 will be chilly, but under polar HP there should be some sun.
  4. "crap" pattern Thursday and Friday... High pressure moves off the coast by Thu as low pressure tracks across Quebec. This will allow a southwest flow of much milder air to work into southern New England. Highs will probably into the 60s for many locations. We may have to contend with some showers associated from a warm front and eventually an approaching cold front sometime Thu into Thu night...but not expecting a washout. Thinking right now is that the cold front will have cleared the southern New England coast by early Fri. So perhaps a few lingering showers early Fri...but thinking mainly dry weather. Despite some cooling temps aloft behind the front...given the mild start and northwest flow think we see highs in the 60s again.
  5. Monday and Monday night... Following the cold and raw weekend, Monday will be a breath of fresh air as a warm front lifts north of southern New England bringing the return of temperatures well into the 60s. This is thanks to a surface low which lifts from the Great Lakes Sunday night into Nova Scotia by Monday night. This drags the warm front into northern New England bringing a plume of moisture overhead with dewpoints in the mid 50s and PWATs approaching 1.5". This, together with ample forcing from a 45-60 kt LLJ, placement beneath the right entrance region of a 300 mb jet, and the surface cold front will lead to widespread rain including some heavy downpours and even some embedded thunder. There is some marginal instability available with several hundred J/kg of MUCAPE in the warm sector late Monday/Monday night. By the time the rain moves out Tuesday morning 0.5-1 inches of rain are likely to have fallen.
  6. Yeah week 2 does look cooler than previously gfs/euro. We'll see
  7. takes many a bong rips to make those temps look miserable.
  8. Since we are switching model rips as the EPS looks rather normie for early-mid April here is the latest gfs.
  9. Euro ens looks slightly below to near normal, at least Apr 6-13. Hardly "brutal" lol. Also looks Steined, and with cold UL we'd see cool/colder nights but mild sunny/ very very dry days.
  10. That's 12th out of 140? years of records. Wowzers
  11. will be razors edge at 1k in New Boston NH ;p
  12. I hope you get 3" of ice personally
  13. can almost envision him driving north into SWNH to stay in the cold air
  14. Heck no, especially outside of winter/cold season. Hope they get annihilated but we good
  15. Yeah hopefully that icer is even better than advertised. Congrats
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