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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. Not a bad 24-hour lead for our region Ahead of this early activity, a warm front will push north-northeastward across Indiana/Ohio. New severe storm development, perhaps MCV-influenced and transitioning out of the remnant activity and/or forming near the warm front, is possible across Indiana into Ohio. Shear profiles will be excessive, with tornado risk only conditional on minimal instability being present. The result may be a isolated tornadic supercells. The warm frontal position will need to be monitored northward toward the Indiana/Michigan border vicinity. Even if instability is elevated into Michigan, extreme shear and lift may still yield damaging winds and even a tornado risk.
  2. I wasn't comparing them like that-lol but both seem to be missing steep ml llase rates, and that is usually the one key missing ingredient in sne setups that fail.
  3. I haven't given up on Thursday - 0z mesos look okay wrt potential
  4. Yes, one of the most memorable ever, really. tremendous shear - weak/mid cape - terrible ml lapse rates/ml cape. SPC was at least a moderate hatch if not high risk? it was wild. Very little happened
  5. funny because the very next year produced some of the highest end severe we've seen in a century ofc largely EML-driven
  6. I saw a truck with "f* summer" decal -snowmobile and skidoo on opposing side...surely someone who posts here
  7. AI music kinda hits. dumb youtube won't let me upload as regular without adding filler
  8. a few light showers roaming around. with no remotely close to interesting storms, rather let Stein reign supreme and burn
  9. I've seen some "regular" E TX/LA storms that easily rival the best I have seen in NE. If you enjoy snow and highest end severe, IA/NE life probably the best call
  10. Was that a NWS /gov't work bid/ career move? You're originally from RI? What a mistake!
  11. 18z gfs/ai gfs are Steined too...for next week or two really
  12. https://www.kissin925.com/eye-in-the-sky/ time-sens, nice storms near Joplin MO
  13. that 3k NAM looked pretty good for tomorrow night.
  14. playing contrarian a bit since everyone's generally "Top 10'er day Coc"
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