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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. Sunday ...Mid-Atlantic... Currently, the best overlap of enhanced west/southwesterly shear and MLCAPE near 2000 J/kg appears to be across the Mid-Atlantic from eastern VA into southeast PA/southern NJ within a moist axis and pre-frontal surface trough. Scattered thunderstorms may develop within this area during peak heating and pose a risk mainly for damaging gusts. Stronger southwesterly flow aloft is expected with northward extent into PA/NY and portions of New England. However, degree of destabilization is uncertain due to cloud cover and possible remnant convection over the Ohio Valley from the Day 2/Saturday period moving across the Upper Ohio Valley early in the period ahead of the surface cold front. Depending on model trends and mesoscale details emanating from prior day convection, severe probability could be adjusted northward in subsequent outlooks.
  2. Yeah a tor was likely on the ground while unwarned. Or at least was about to drop
  3. Concord River in Billerica is very, very low. Signs of the drought
  4. Perfect wx. Unfortunately EMA storm shield full effect through perhaps 6/20, however these days and nights are worth it!!
  5. they tried and tried. Using every chart known to man. bless their little hearts
  6. Hopefully some folks see triple-digit heat indexes!
  7. watching the plains outbreak - some of those cell mergers in NE are wild
  8. Yeah, these types of setups always trend towards best instability/theta-e, and that's nearly always going in the wrong direction. unless there's a strong cf squall line, or it's this type of setup but pegged for NNE many days out, forget it
  9. Had to move two turtles across roads today. One was a big 'un snapper lol. Summer!
  10. Yeah its not a hot pattern, we'll see if we sneak in a day or two of post front/wave clouds and cool
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