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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. disturbance #2 /30% looks decent, but moving directly east safely offshore.
  2. Looks like a quick dew-up Thu night/Fri. then the cool, crisp air quickly returns Sat/Saturday night? .
  3. Hopefully we can get a remnant EML in here in the next few weeks. Otherwise zzzz, cool, dry, with a few periods of dew and showers/downpours and light storms.
  4. Who's uninstalling? Just curious, but got to be a few folks at least considering the possibility.
  5. Looks like a "coc" thrust to some on here, but I'd seriously consider moving after a month like that.
  6. unfortunately no Hotgust/Ughust en route. Pedestrian temps/dews
  7. Which means only one thing Less than 5 months from now, days are getting longer again!! Let's goooo
  8. Disappointing event, unfortunately. Bring back last Thursday
  9. Heavy rain showers with the wild line. No thunder, no wind. lol
  10. Any more widespread threat is street flooding at this point. Unwild but something
  11. First thunder of the day. Anvil moving overhead
  12. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 568 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 130 PM EDT Sat Jul 29 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern Connecticut Massachusetts Extreme southern Maine Southern New Hampshire South central New York Northeast Pennsylvania Rhode Island Southern Vermont Coastal Waters * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon from New York and northeast Pennsylvania eastward into parts of southern New England. The storm environment will favor a mix of multicell clusters and some supercells capable of producing damaging winds and isolated large hail through late evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles north of Wilkesbarre PA to 30 miles east of Boston MA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
  13. Mesoscale Discussion 1770 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1033 AM CDT Sat Jul 29 2023 Areas affected...southern New England into parts of eastern New York and far northern New Jersey Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 291533Z - 291730Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A steady increase in thunderstorm coverage is expected through the afternoon, with locally strong wind gusts becoming more likely as the airmass destabilizes. WW issuance will likely be needed. DISCUSSION...Latest visible satellite loop shows partly sunny conditions across southern New England and into parts of eastern New York and vicinity. Daytime heating through late morning has supported modest destabilization, which will continue into the afternoon given dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s. As an MCV now crossing eastern Lake Erie continues to shift eastward, expect storm coverage to increase as afternoon mixed-layer CAPE values rise into the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. While low-level flow is forecast to remain weaker as compared to areas farther south, mid-level westerlies near 30 kt will support potential for organized storms and some upscale growth into small-scale bands. Locally strong/damaging wind gusts are expected with the strongest storms, through the afternoon hours, and this potential appears sufficient that WW issuance will likely be required in the next hour. ..Goss/Thompson.. 07/29/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product
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