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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. There are ways to get it up here, needs to be on the low-and-slow end of guidance jmo. Faster or develops more north are bad
  2. Completely different setup and we all knew Dirty Deb wasn't going OTS. 12z Euro op is slower with the system, and has the U/L towards WV, while the GFS buries the U/L way way southwest over TN nearly GA. You want that UL over the lakes more like the Dirty Deb setup and no model shows that.
  3. show me a similar 500mb anomaly pattern that had a hit here, and I'll re-consider I guess a few maybe had similarities with that trough in the west but it looks rough
  4. probably kicked on the 18z gfs. UL is too weak and south
  5. JV models like JMA and NOGAPS both have it, too. Let's go!
  6. GGEM still has it as well. Good agreement
  7. Those Godly cutters last winter were exciting, admittedly. I guess CoS is correct?
  8. right through Christmas sounds fantastic
  9. Debbie downer...eh. Hopefully a primer for a big 'un
  10. Prime those rivers/streams! Don't even care about distant lightning
  11. easy to see that happening, too. hopefully SW CT sees some big 'un flooders
  12. Yeah if you want SNE ImPAcTs, the offshore track is better
  13. Hopefully Debbie emerges sooner than forecast and intensifies quickly!
  14. I hope NYC/SW Ct gets a foot of rajn
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