Oh definitely, and of course no one said "slam dunk" anything. tbh, your posts HERE (can't speak for other subforums) are generally LR stuff and pimping ensemble products. That's really all I can speak of and address.
Winter *SHOULD* perk up near/after X-mas, who wouldn't forecast that happening? Besides an extremely hostile pattern, mediocre patterns can produce decent even excellent storms.
The fact is we (SNE) are wasting day after day of cold season basically snowless.
It's the equivalent of being June 8th, temps still in the 60's with no heat in sight. Usually late May/June we're all looking forward to 80s and 90s.
Folks shouldn't be panicked but certainly concerned.
Serious question, when do you start hoping for a warm winter to preserve the grass pack? I mean everything's still fairly green and lively here like Novie.
Yeah it's unrealistic to expect that frequency of textbook storms in December. My personal December favorites were 03 and 05. iirc '03 was top 5 (at the time anyway) for BOS? Had 24" in Canton, MA.
It really isn't, that's what is funny. You are being hypocritical and you know it, that's why you are defensive. JMA Is a terrible model, I only look at it as like a 8th? lol option to see if it agrees with any consensus of more useful op models.