Torch Tiger

Any guesses as to how many active tors are within 200 nm of PAH right now? lol

pour sleet? I'm really looking forward to severe season. You're in a great spot, and hopefully out east we some dying remnants!

VWX radar is wild basically never see that type of event here. regionwide each and all hit to a varying degree

he's just yucking your yum, even though to me it sucks, hope you get 5" of sleet!

great chase tune! bang that as you're about to get hit with an f-3!@

big 'uns!

One forecast concern is temperatures, and the corresponding impact on winds. Should more sunshine develop than currently forecast, we likely get deeper boundary layer mixing. With a 40-50 kt low level jet at 925 mb, that could lead to stronger winds than currently forecast, which is closer to the 90th percentile of the NationalBlend guidance but still below Wind Advisory thresholds. Forecast high temperatures in the 60s away from the immediate coasts could reach the 70s in a few spots. ACATT stomped out

confidence level?

40's? lows?

Euro and gfs have 50's/60's Sunday

Today blows..literally. In Salem ma "the point" ghetto too

yeah hopefully lots of storms/severe to track the next 6 months!

hopefully not the best event of the season...

Thursday/Friday still on for way way AN temps! Hopefully that cooler pattern breaks up 15th-20th and we really torch end of month!

notable month, also the massive differences in overall sensible wx between SNE and NNE.

wow didn't know BDL was +4.6 going into today, another sizable jump today!

nice

what a day. what a March!

I'm in PYM and it's 56F. Torch!

Yeah week 2 will be chilly, but under polar HP there should be some sun.

"crap" pattern Thursday and Friday... High pressure moves off the coast by Thu as low pressure tracks across Quebec. This will allow a southwest flow of much milder air to work into southern New England. Highs will probably into the 60s for many locations. We may have to contend with some showers associated from a warm front and eventually an approaching cold front sometime Thu into Thu night...but not expecting a washout. Thinking right now is that the cold front will have cleared the southern New England coast by early Fri. So perhaps a few lingering showers early Fri...but thinking mainly dry weather. Despite some cooling temps aloft behind the front...given the mild start and northwest flow think we see highs in the 60s again.

hopefully it's knocked out soon

Worse is snow/ice

Monday and Monday night... Following the cold and raw weekend, Monday will be a breath of fresh air as a warm front lifts north of southern New England bringing the return of temperatures well into the 60s. This is thanks to a surface low which lifts from the Great Lakes Sunday night into Nova Scotia by Monday night. This drags the warm front into northern New England bringing a plume of moisture overhead with dewpoints in the mid 50s and PWATs approaching 1.5". This, together with ample forcing from a 45-60 kt LLJ, placement beneath the right entrance region of a 300 mb jet, and the surface cold front will lead to widespread rain including some heavy downpours and even some embedded thunder. There is some marginal instability available with several hundred J/kg of MUCAPE in the warm sector late Monday/Monday night. By the time the rain moves out Tuesday morning 0.5-1 inches of rain are likely to have fallen.