Ruin

its still something to look at and gives a bit of info honestly we should have a way to do accuracy with model. we all know models swing and miss and sometimes they get it right. but having a accuracy model for them would be awesome. cause in a given year it feels like some of the models are in the teens for accuracy

damn

ty for posting this I often looked for accuracy on th emodels and didnt really ever find anything like this

nice glad you made it I hope you went the the creamery

radar always does this for big storms lol. I remember 1 year for 7 hours all it did was show virga over us even heavy precip return sat times we only got a few flakes at the last few hours 12 inch storm turned into 1-2 inchs lol. But yet when we have a front with little precip amazingly the storm starts to snow right away even with light precip returns

ah got ya but the weather dynamics in AK are way different then my area heh

I remember several times last 3 years the hrrr has been really bad

yeah was afraid the nam would nam us but the precip shield to the south west looks ugly dry

when does the nam start

Hope the radar fills in more a little gap between the system

when I worked at a horse racing casino we would have a Coyote or 2 come back they both were very friendly they even let them sleep inside the guard shack on very cold nights and they never once showed any aggression.

Also I keep hearing about how warm the ocean is and thats another reason why the warm air wins out for some areas turns it to sleet. But we are in the heart of winter and its been pretty cold even before this artic blast. But the funny thing about that is the temps are colder now then what they have been for other storms and they didnt say anything about the ocean temps then??

please stunt on us

actually they pushed it back to 5am when before it was before midnight or on average 1-2am

the earliest start time I saw was 10pm 11pm sat night but the average was 1-2am but keep pushing it back saying its a slower storm but then they end it 5 hours earlier lol

they have been ending earlier and eelier and starting it later and later I dunno what the in house model they use and what model they base it off of.

um no I wont shut up lol I have every right to say this just like you have a right to say what you want. Ive never attacked any one here

You know I could agree with model guidance about the warm nose heading so far north if this cold air was a week old and not a fresh air mass that is coming in tonight. Im sticking to my guns on this. we will have some pingers we often do have more of a icy snow when it comes to colder big storms.I just think models are having a hard time with how cold the air is and have deep vs the storm coming from the south the models run from mid day I saw had the main low more south. But yet the ice/warmer nose moved more north?

Not buying it

I remember that name

Who is this mu you speak of

It is but if they do see you driving i doubt they stop you.

What I've been saying

https://penncapital-star.com/briefs/gov-shapiro-declares-emergency-penndot-imposes-vehicle-restrictions-ahead-of-winter-storm/ I remember when they use to hand out fines during state of emergency or snow emergency. I dont think thry even do that any more

The fresh Arctic air from a strong high heavy precipitation equals dynamic cooling and last. I looked the low's not going as far north for the primary. Then, it was earlier, so I don't know how the w why it's showing the freezing sleet line moving closer north with every run.But yet the primary low is stained more south versus what it was showed before