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tiger_deF

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Everything posted by tiger_deF

  1. Almost sure this dude is doing this for clicks.
  2. Ida more than 6 hours after landfall... Eye has started clouding in but is still remarkably clear, and radar is still very potent
  3. Presentation is rapidly improving on IR
  4. IR appearance has degraded, but on radar the center is as clear as it's ever looked. I expect Cuba interaction will disturb it somewhat, but it should be fully recovered by tomorrow morning
  5. Absolutely dumping rain in greater Boston, came in without a warning
  6. Appearances can be deceiving, but Henri looks the best he has ever looked
  7. Sure looks like Henri is strengthening right now. I would imagine this will continue for the ~3 degrees latitude Henri has left of serviceably hot waters
  8. Reports of Henri's death have been greatly exaggerated
  9. Now that everyone on this forum has been poo pooing this storm for days, I am fully expecting it to bust upwards.
  10. Henri is quickly building outflow to the west, though it is still restricted to the North. Impressive convection nonetheless though, I would bet that Henri is near, if not at, hurricane status.
  11. Henri's quite the blobular lad tonight
  12. I like to hold the 3k NAM as the theoretical maximum of a current system. Plenty of systems have verified with the NAM before, but usually when they are in ideal conditions, or for whatever reason seem to "pull it off" given the current environment and overperform.
  13. We are talking about half a foot plus of precipitation, so there is some similarity!
  14. Practically stalls right over SE MA
  15. ~20 mb weaker 24 hours out, and ultimately a few mb stronger at landfall. Much farther West as well
  16. Live feed from GOES-16 streamed into the home of every weenie or bust
  17. So instead of coming closer to agreement ~3 days out, the EPS and GFES basically switch places. Wonderful!
  18. I still remember the days of "King Euro" How the mighty have fallen...
  19. Pretty epic bust potential in either direction for this. I could buy a weak, sheared TS crossing hundreds of miles offshore, a cat 2 landfall in SE NE, or anything in between.
  20. I'm interested in seeing if Henri has a symmetrical, concentrated wind profile, or one that is shallow with multiple wind maxima.
  21. For NY/LI/Mid-Atlantic? Yeah Sandy will almost certainly be worse. I think the localized impacts may end up being worse for the Cape and some of SE new England.
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