Cary67
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Everything posted by Cary67
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Sleeting here. Heavy sleet now pinging. Any chance this flips back over or is that it for the snow?
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Not started yet. Will go 4" imby. The spirit of Jerry Taft lives on. Check that started snowing and is moderate already.
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Not sure. Only models I see putting me in higher amts are UKMET and HRRR. Most others put heavier amts just NW
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Quite the spread on the p&c from LOT. 3-5" far SE Mchenry Co to 4-8" NW.
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Segway into a toasty January
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Only 3-5" out by RFD under WSW. 2-4" in SE McHenry County
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2-4" here maybe 3-5" by Rockford. Must be tossing that 18Z HRR into the waste basket
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General population this fall
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I've been purchasing a ticket everyday since Thanksgiving. Its about time to hit on a few numbers
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After watching these model runs I've come to the conclusion that there's not enough cold air available for anything but marginal,thread the needle systems in recent winters. Receiving significant snow is like playing pick 4 lotto
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At least the Euro has had a tendency to overamp solutions this winter
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Ukie on board now interesting
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Yeah the UKMET not on board with a closed low riding due north so weaker, SE, and OV not off the table
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6Z GFS. Ukie more of an Apps runner
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Concerned the phrase "thread the needle"is the norm for every system that develops this winter and far too many other winters recently.
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The only certainty is those qpf snow numbers will undoubtedly diminish significantly as time progresses
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Have a tendency to think UKMET may lead the way
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ORD will get some snow scraps eventually
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Seasonal snow totals for ORD <15" by Jan.15th looking money. Bets on <20" by Feb.15th?
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Too many winters have jackpot areas that seem to get hit over and over. DTW a few years back had the snow magnet.
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Haven't put alot of stock in the Canadian. Always thought UKMET better at verifying. Icon somewhat similar will see if UKMET and Euro move towards that.
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Storm tracks once established love to stay that way. Would be third system for Eastern Ohio, Pennsylvania etc.. Then another coastal on the 4th possible
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12Z Ukie
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Would take notice if UKMET shifted south. Don't think they will though
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Had enough pixie dust to cover the windshield so set a better Xmas mood
