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Cary67

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Everything posted by Cary67

  1. Cary67
    Nothing here either
  2. Cary67
    Not much here yet
  3. Cary67
    Should have stuck with original 3" magic 8 ball forecast
  4. Cary67
    Not sure that will work either. RC has thoughtful analysis and shows the envelope of possibilities and gives substantial reasoning for each of them. Then it unfortunately verifies on one of the weaker outcomes. Not his fault just the bad trend we've been in for several years
  5. Cary67
    From zzzz... to tracking weakening systems. Baby steps
  6. Cary67
    Hoping far SE McHenry does a bit better than Harvard. This time RFD doesn't do better
  7. Cary67
    Final call 5". Snowfall this winter is a grind to come by
  8. Cary67
    Dessication.
  9. Cary67
    Someone should keep track of systems modeled to produce big snows meaning double digits inside 78hrs. Bet the rate of verification is pretty low.
  10. Cary67
    We've definitely made the most of the little amts that have fallen
  11. Cary67
    Pulling the magic 8 ball back off the shelf to polish it.
  12. Cary67
    My Jerry Taftesque predictions with little evidence to back it up would put me in a precarious position
  13. Cary67
    LOT has 5-8" for northern tier counties
  14. Cary67
    At this point would take 4-6" as models still have another 36 hrs to look even worse
  15. Cary67
    And it seems like so much work and attention for the Mon.-Tue system may yield similar results across LOT. You quietly keep racking up the totals.DAB here overnight
  16. Cary67
    DAB here
  17. Cary67
    You guys are rockin this winter
  18. Cary67
    Surprised 2007-08 didn't have one 6"+ snowstorm at ORD. We received almost 87" that year imby. Seemed to remember quite a few 6"+ storms that year
  19. Cary67
    Yes. I do wonder though if weather offices strive to issue watches that eventually become warnings more often then being downgraded to WWAs. If that's the case waiting a bit later would help raise those percentages.
  20. Cary67
    I'm sure they will but imo still time to take in more model data that's been sampled and fine tune amts for initial advisories. While still giving public 24-36 hrs notice.
  21. Cary67
    LOT's decision to wait on issuing headlines seems prudent
  22. Cary67
    Its been my experience at least in extreme SE McHenry that we do receive some lake enhancement from some big events
  23. Cary67
    Would LOT need to issue watches before tomorrow evening? Another 24hrs to see if short range models agree?
  24. Cary67
    Rfd doing well this year with respect to being a bit further east. Most years the Lake influence pushes ORD past RFD later in the winter for season totals
  25. Cary67
    May have to shelve magic 8 ball if this track and qpf output hold for another 24hrs. Hopefully mesos fall in line with this
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