Cary67

^No amount of "Lazerus" nowcasting is bringing this thing back to my area.

Keep your friends close and your enemies even closer

Nah, in all honesty hope you guys in SEMI receive a thumping. Would be a terrible waste of tracking for everyone to be shut out

18Z NAM( Not Always Michigan) model remains defiant

Definitely not arguing that it was a prolific Feb. in that ORD to DTW corridor. Again that corridor benefitted from some systems(one in particular) whose track not too dissimilar to the current one. Those snow amts and depths in the loop were aided by LES and pts just NW up through Madison were way below normal last year. I guess unless Decembers make a come back I think you've been fortunate to rely on February or March's to make up the gap. It's happened in your area but as this year showed Feb didn't bail you out. Just wonder in the long run if Decembers stay in the crapper and if the durations of cold air are less frequent how long does that run for DTW hold on?

I think Alek is right. We may be transitioning to more of a central IL/St. Louis winter climo. The events become more marginal temp wise in nature,with more thread the needle set ups, and increasingly narrow windows of winter like weather. Over the last few years what's amazing is DTW's knack to cash in on whatever meager opportunities present themselves. The UP and MSP benefit in not on increasing temps but increasing moisture as winter retreats northward

O.5" call may bust high

That 20% working hard. It will be a spectacle to see the band shift SE to Danville inside 12 hrs

Remember the good old days when things went poof from 150 hrs to the event.

Beautiful day yesterday. Only 45 days or so till we start to stack these type of days together for longer stretches

Working towards a Ukie and CMC solution. Waiting for the 100mile NAM shift SE. Jan.26th storm 2.0 with no northern energy bailout

Would assume this is LOT's faith in the NAM products

LOT can update this graphic and slide it SE

Thinking NW LOT is done

NAM loves dramatic shifts within this time frame

First call 0.5"

Nope that's it may settle a bit further SE. Cutters affecting this area hit southside-IKK to DTW. Have been for several yrs now. Keeps Michsnowfreak padding those stats in SEMI

That's all this climo can offer

Yep and feel like if cold air was in place it would be suppressed SE. At some point wonder how the he** NW LOT ever received snows from a cutter solution

GFS track looks like every cutter solution that's near Chicago the last 2-3 yrs. Southside or IKK over to DTW. Waiting for the Euro to fold. NAM NW but still out of its range. Least likely Ricky solution will probably win out.

Calling Michsnowfreak your table is ready for the 18Z GFS dinner party.lol

That swath starting to resemble a pencil

Your right I think I received 4" for that one. Although gradient for heavier snows ran through McHenry Co. with areas just NW receiving 8" amts

^Agree with the OV but places like Boston have years we will never experience. Plus all we've really had is one ice storm and some grass tip snows. This system has plenty of time to go poof as well. MSP should be in the sharing mood