Cary67

Benjamin Button words of wisdom

From LOT AFD: Also have to point out a growing signal for a southwest-flow synoptic scale cyclone somewhere east of the Rocky Mountains in the February 11-14 timeframe, with both the GEFS/EPS already favoring our area being on the warm side. Should a cyclone actually develop and we end up on the warm side, could easily envision forecast focus trending toward hydrology concerns considering the frost depth of just deeper than 13 inches at our office isn`t going to vanish anytime soon.

RFD had 4.7" ORD 11.1" Jan.totals Average January ORD monthly totals 11.1" Difference mostly LES. MBY somewhere between those so would give the month a C-. Mostly swiped by dusters and flakes in the air from distant LES. Trough position too far east with us sitting on backside. If pattern resets ideally trough digs back further west if not could be repeat of January.

Was in Northbrook most of the day. It was ripping at times. Sad to head back to dust town

Hopefully. This weekend is approximately duster event #9 for my area. At about 26-27" on the season. RFD lagging a bit at 23.9"

That's nice. No chance for blowing and drifting on the way back and forth to Iowa City

Hopefully LES totals didn't skew ORD official numbers too much

Definitely. Will ease this weekends swing and miss out here.

They steal one at Mackey?

Lake bake making the cake

I tend to follow certain markers. If it's snowing hard in Evansville it's not snowing much here. If the SLP track is taking the little Egypt route I'm in business. Chicago seems more in play with these southern systems since you'll get this LES signal to show up fluffing up totals. Sometimes comes to fruition; a lot of times doesn't. I always figure qpf is overdone on the margins and will erode away as event nears provided there's no consensual shift of the models NW

-11F this morning Edit:-12F currently

Call of 1.0" here