Jump to content

Sernest14

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    423

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Sernest14

  1. Sernest14
    HRRR and Nam are pretty close (HRRR more amped) at 48
  2. Sernest14
  3. Sernest14
    Euro run keeps the cold around longer and decent front thump again. 12z Monday still has snow north and west of city with a 295/95 cutoff east for rain
  4. Sernest14
    Still way too warm but getting closer - has the area getting into the low 40s overnight Sunday. Just don't see that happening
  5. Sernest14
  6. Sernest14
    Hoping that 32-33 that we keep getting forecasted can be pulled down a couple degrees from the initial thump and not push us above freezing until the dry slot.
  7. Sernest14
    Through 114: Euro nothing to write home about - looks like a 3-4" - precip switches to a light rain Monday and back to light snow 0Z Tuesday. Really a lack of moisture in our area this run. Good initial lump but lacking after 18z Sunday. Still a little wrap around to come through but don't anticipate more than an inch with that
  8. Sernest14
    Great UK run for the area - 7" through first 12 hours with a lengthy break (hopefully we can stay a little cooler - at around 33 degrees all day Monday but this is during very light precip or dry slots) with an additional 1-4" depending on area to finish off the storm.
  9. Sernest14
    Para actually looks better this run and has been one to be going back on forth a bit (at least for us):
  10. Sernest14
    and most of the above for our area is overnight tonight
  11. Sernest14
    Yeah for Sun/Monday - essentially ends precipitation Sunday evening 7pm with just about all rain.
  12. Sernest14
    Great run for SWVA - bad for most everyone else compared to all other models/previous runs
  13. Sernest14
    Ooof - 18Z GFS is baaad
  14. Sernest14
    18z GFS looks quicker (not by much at all but low is in OK) and more weak through 60 compared to 12z Euro
  15. Sernest14
    Gives 2", the precip field on radar is more amped than any models are showing too - but good ole radar hallucinations - do think we get an inch or 2 out of this system though
  16. Sernest14
    You also have 1 member that is far NW Ohio with the L that is probably pulling the OP placement west more than it will be (wishful thinking)
  17. Sernest14
    The ENS low placements are pretty solid. A number of them right where we need with a few outliers both ways. Only a handful are really where the OP shows or more west.
  18. Sernest14
    snow depth goes form 6.5" to 2"
  19. Sernest14
    Through 132 Euro looks good - need to have that low east of OBX and not come up the bay though like it just did. Still 6" before the flip to rain then back to mix/snow later Monday.
  20. Sernest14
    It has been through Ohio but more so talking about the coastal low that i feel as been jumping around.
  21. Sernest14
    mostly a 2-3" storm for 95 and points ~50 miles west. Half of total QPF is rain/mix
  22. Sernest14
    well that run was a disaster. good thing it's been all over the place and hasn't really had any consistently.
  23. Sernest14
    coastal system radar looks to be expanded more north than models depicted so hoping that is more favorable to get us some flakes
  24. Sernest14
    Another solid uk and euro run Won’t let me post maps but ~7” on us and 13.5” euro
  25. Sernest14
    Trending towards the euro though so that’s good (for Sunday/Monday). See what uk and euro look like for 00z- hopefully they hold
×
×
  • Create New...