Sernest14
-
Posts
423 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Sernest14
-
Still all snow in Ashland, hoping we don’t flip before this heavier batch comes through
-
HRRR showing another 3 around Richmond left and 4 Hanover so could push 5-7overall
-
Right at about 3” in Ashland
-
Snow line still south of VA. All short ranges had rain/mix line into va at this time already
-
NAM has more moisture filling in after the first wave compared to last few runs looks great through 15z so far
-
At 27 now (3-5 degrees lower than short range models depicted at 18z
-
Traffic cams show snow already coming down in Abingdon. Looks like nice stickage so far on grass and sides of 81
-
Took a step back- 4-6” down from 8” at 0z
-
Jan 31st - 33rd Storm Obs and Disco like it's 1979
Sernest14 replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Anyone know why the 3k NAM are so different between TT and Pivotal? -
18z NAM 3k is ugly. Lucky to get an inch. not as amped on the initial thump and temps are higher than what we’ve seen. Per pivotal- just checked TT and that looks more in line with other models. No idea how the algorithms are so far off for the same model?
-
Actually not sure if that temp is right? Going by phone and seeing 37 on one and 40 on the other ?
-
We’re also at 37 from a forecasted 39 so hoping those 2 degrees continues to carry and helps
-
Same with Ashland on the warning still in place for 4-6
-
Thanks! I'll switch to looking at the algorithms that give us more
-
^^NAM 18Z - why are these so much different?
-
-
18Z HRRR looks good through 48:
-
I haven't seen anything more than 1" on recent models for the back end - everything is more or less the front. Dry slot and then maybe some light snow/showers for a few hours
-
UK 12Z with another good hit UK
-
Not sure how well the HRRR generally holds up but that does look like it would be better for us. Cold extends pretty far to our south so don't see any change to rain like the Nam
-
True but Nam only goes to 60 so that's with 6 hours of additional precip haha
-
3K Nam bad for everyone Sunday compared to what we have been seeing- the initial thump has essentially gone away for most.
-
Yeah that is good but at 42 hours it's showing a slight N movement compared to 18. Hopefully changes back south a little as it moves across OH Valley
-
Bad NAM run for us - a lot of sleet and freezing rain - definitely a shift N with only 1" on the initial thump.
-
Freezing line has moved north from 18Z NAM to 0Z for early Sunday AM
